Jean-Gabriel Pageau vs Jonathan Toews
2022-23 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jonathan Toews holds a +5.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Pageau on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 8 meetings). Pageau wins 57.2% vs left-shot opponents — Toews shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pageau 56.7% vs Toews 61.9% (-5.9%)
H2H factor
Toews leads 10-10 in 20 meetings
Offensive zone
Toews 67.0%
Defensive zone
Pageau 71.7%
Neutral zone
Pageau 52.3%
Result
Jean-Gabriel Pageau favored at 52.4%
52.4%
47.6%
Pageau
Toews
Head-to-Head Record
10
-
10
(20 meetings)
10
10
Pageau
Toews
Last 10: Pageau 4-6 Toews
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Toews
3
5
Pageau
Toews
8 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pageau
6
2
Pageau
Toews
8 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Toews
1
3
Pageau
Toews
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pageau
Toews
Edge
Even Strength
58.8% (889)
61.1% (650)
-2.3%
Power Play
58.2% (182)
71.9% (192)
-13.7%
Penalty Kill
48.6% (185)
59.6% (99)
-11.0%
On power play, Toews has a +13.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Toews shoots left. Pageau is 57.2% vs left-shot opponents (880).
Pageau shoots right. Toews is 66.7% vs right-shot opponents (384).
Home / Away
Pageau
Toews
Home
59.0% (595)
64.8% (560)
Away
55.7% (661)
60.6% (381)
By Period
Pageau
Toews
P1
58.9%
62.3%
P2
57.9%
63.9%
P3
55.6%
62.8%
OT
44.4%
70.0%
Final 5 min
56.0%
60.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pageau
54.0%▼
57.5%
57.2%
Toews
58.0%▼
61.0%
63.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 4, 2022 | 3 | 07:39 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Dec 4, 2022 | 3 | 03:56 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Dec 4, 2022 | 3 | 03:42 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Dec 4, 2022 | 3 | 03:37 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Dec 4, 2022 | 2 | 16:52 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Dec 4, 2022 | 2 | 03:10 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Dec 4, 2022 | 2 | 02:45 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Dec 4, 2022 | 2 | 00:59 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Dec 4, 2022 | 1 | 17:57 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Dec 4, 2022 | 1 | 02:38 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Nov 1, 2022 | 3 | 17:54 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Nov 1, 2022 | 3 | 17:48 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Nov 1, 2022 | 3 | 15:48 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Nov 1, 2022 | 3 | 15:44 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Nov 1, 2022 | 3 | 09:29 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Nov 1, 2022 | 2 | 16:08 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Nov 1, 2022 | 2 | 09:31 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Nov 1, 2022 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Nov 1, 2022 | 1 | 16:17 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Nov 1, 2022 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |