Jean-Gabriel Pageau vs Jonathan Toews
2019-20 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jonathan Toews holds a +3.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Pageau on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pageau 53.2% vs Toews 56.8% (-3.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Toews 91.2%
Defensive zone
Toews 52.1%
Neutral zone
Toews 73.8%
Result
Jonathan Toews favored at 65.8%
34.2%
65.8%
Pageau
Toews
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Pageau
Toews
Last 6: Pageau 4-2 Toews
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Toews
0
1
Pageau
Toews
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pageau
3
0
Pageau
Toews
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Pageau
Toews
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pageau
Toews
Edge
Even Strength
53.5% (826)
55.9% (1,014)
-2.4%
Power Play
59.2% (120)
62.8% (301)
-3.6%
Penalty Kill
50.2% (203)
55.9% (179)
-5.7%
On penalty kill, Toews has a +5.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Toews shoots left. Pageau is 51.6% vs left-shot opponents (796).
Pageau shoots right. Toews is 60.7% vs right-shot opponents (591).
Home / Away
Pageau
Toews
Home
55.7% (618)
56.6% (709)
Away
51.0% (531)
58.0% (785)
By Period
Pageau
Toews
P1
52.5%
60.4%
P2
56.1%
57.6%
P3
50.8%
54.3%
OT
61.3%
59.4%
Final 5 min
51.3%
58.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pageau
54.0%▼
57.5%
53.5%
Toews
58.0%▼
61.0%
57.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 14, 2020 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Jan 14, 2020 | 3 | 12:20 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Jan 14, 2020 | 2 | 17:20 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Jan 14, 2020 | 2 | 06:42 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Jan 14, 2020 | 2 | 06:15 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Jan 14, 2020 | 1 | 15:03 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |