Jean-Gabriel Pageau vs Justin Danforth
2023-24 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jean-Gabriel Pageau holds a +6.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Pageau on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings). Pageau wins 55.1% vs right-shot opponents — Danforth shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pageau 55.0% vs Danforth 48.8% (+6.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Pageau 67.8%
Defensive zone
Pageau 90.3%
Neutral zone
Pageau 83.9%
Result
Jean-Gabriel Pageau favored at 73.3%
73.3%
26.7%
Pageau
Danforth
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
1
(7 meetings)
6
1
Pageau
Danforth
Last 7: Pageau 6-1 Danforth
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Pageau
5
0
Pageau
Danforth
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pageau
1
0
Pageau
Danforth
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Danforth
0
1
Pageau
Danforth
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pageau
Danforth
Edge
Even Strength
57.1% (905)
51.2% (281)
+5.9%
Power Play
55.2% (116)
55.6% (9)
-0.4%
Penalty Kill
48.0% (204)
35.8% (67)
+12.2%
On penalty kill, Pageau has a +12.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Danforth shoots right. Pageau is 55.1% vs right-shot opponents (345).
Pageau shoots right. Danforth is 42.1% vs right-shot opponents (95).
Home / Away
Pageau
Danforth
Home
57.0% (618)
52.0% (196)
Away
53.9% (607)
44.1% (161)
By Period
Pageau
Danforth
P1
54.4%
48.2%
P2
61.0%
52.8%
P3
51.0%
42.2%
OT
50.0%
83.3%
Final 5 min
53.8%
48.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pageau
54.0%▼
57.5%
55.4%
Danforth
54.0%▲
51.5%
48.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 4, 2024 | 3 | 13:36 | Neutral | Justin Danforth |
| Apr 4, 2024 | 3 | 07:52 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Apr 4, 2024 | 3 | 01:43 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Apr 4, 2024 | 2 | 18:52 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Apr 4, 2024 | 1 | 19:59 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Apr 4, 2024 | 1 | 14:49 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Dec 7, 2023 | 2 | 08:50 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |