Jean-Gabriel Pageau vs Justin Danforth
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jean-Gabriel Pageau holds a +5.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Pageau on offensive-zone draws (86% H2H, 7 meetings). Pageau wins 53.0% vs right-shot opponents — Danforth shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pageau 54.8% vs Danforth 49.8% (+5.0%)
H2H factor
Pageau leads 10-3 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
Pageau 83.7%
Defensive zone
Pageau 88.9%
Neutral zone
Pageau 83.6%
Result
Jean-Gabriel Pageau favored at 84.5%
84.5%
15.5%
Pageau
Danforth
Head-to-Head Record
10
-
3
(13 meetings)
10
3
Pageau
Danforth
Last 10: Pageau 7-3 Danforth
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Pageau
6
1
Pageau
Danforth
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pageau
2
0
Pageau
Danforth
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Pageau
Danforth
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pageau
Danforth
Edge
Even Strength
55.7% (9,486)
51.8% (1,018)
+3.9%
Power Play
57.0% (1,002)
50.0% (36)
+7.0%
Penalty Kill
49.6% (2,069)
40.1% (207)
+9.5%
On penalty kill, Pageau has a +9.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Danforth shoots right. Pageau is 53.0% vs right-shot opponents (3,718).
Pageau shoots right. Danforth is 46.3% vs right-shot opponents (324).
Home / Away
Pageau
Danforth
Home
56.3% (6,214)
51.4% (619)
Away
53.4% (6,343)
48.3% (642)
By Period
Pageau
Danforth
P1
54.6%
49.1%
P2
56.3%
51.4%
P3
53.5%
48.3%
OT
54.4%
64.3%
Final 5 min
53.9%
52.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pageau
54.0%▼
57.5%
54.8%
Danforth
54.0%▲
51.5%
49.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 24, 2025 | 2 | 05:31 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Mar 24, 2025 | 1 | 17:20 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Oct 30, 2024 | 3 | 10:13 | Neutral | Justin Danforth |
| Oct 30, 2024 | 3 | 01:16 | Offensive | Justin Danforth |
| Oct 30, 2024 | 1 | 09:36 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Oct 30, 2024 | 1 | 05:09 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Apr 4, 2024 | 3 | 13:36 | Neutral | Justin Danforth |
| Apr 4, 2024 | 3 | 07:52 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Apr 4, 2024 | 3 | 01:43 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Apr 4, 2024 | 2 | 18:52 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Apr 4, 2024 | 1 | 19:59 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Apr 4, 2024 | 1 | 14:49 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Dec 7, 2023 | 2 | 08:50 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |