Jean-Gabriel Pageau vs Justin Danforth
2024-25 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jean-Gabriel Pageau holds a +10.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Pageau on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Pageau wins 54.2% vs right-shot opponents — Danforth shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pageau 58.7% vs Danforth 49.5% (+10.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Pageau 88.1%
Defensive zone
Pageau 65.4%
Neutral zone
Pageau 78.1%
Result
Jean-Gabriel Pageau favored at 79.3%
79.3%
20.7%
Pageau
Danforth
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Pageau
Danforth
Last 6: Pageau 4-2 Danforth
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Pageau
Danforth
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pageau
1
0
Pageau
Danforth
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Pageau
2
1
Pageau
Danforth
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pageau
Danforth
Edge
Even Strength
59.6% (711)
50.5% (546)
+9.1%
Power Play
64.0% (114)
50.0% (14)
+14.0%
Penalty Kill
56.4% (163)
43.6% (101)
+12.8%
On power play, Pageau has a +14.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Danforth shoots right. Pageau is 54.2% vs right-shot opponents (225).
Pageau shoots right. Danforth is 46.8% vs right-shot opponents (173).
Home / Away
Pageau
Danforth
Home
59.3% (506)
51.1% (315)
Away
60.0% (482)
48.0% (346)
By Period
Pageau
Danforth
P1
56.8%
49.5%
P2
64.4%
51.4%
P3
56.9%
46.6%
OT
75.0%
100.0%
Final 5 min
61.1%
52.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pageau
54.0%▼
57.5%
59.6%
Danforth
54.0%▲
51.5%
49.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 24, 2025 | 2 | 05:31 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Mar 24, 2025 | 1 | 17:20 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Oct 30, 2024 | 3 | 10:13 | Neutral | Justin Danforth |
| Oct 30, 2024 | 3 | 01:16 | Offensive | Justin Danforth |
| Oct 30, 2024 | 1 | 09:36 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Oct 30, 2024 | 1 | 05:09 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |