Jean-Gabriel Pageau vs Lars Eller

2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report

Jean-Gabriel Pageau holds a +3.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Pageau on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Pageau wins 60.7% vs left-shot opponents — Eller shoots left.

Prediction Breakdown
Model XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian) Pageau 58.9% vs Eller 55.7% (+3.0%)
H2H factor Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone Pageau 61.4%
Defensive zone Pageau 51.1%
Neutral zone Pageau 61.0%
Result Jean-Gabriel Pageau favored at 56.9%
56.9%
43.1%
Pageau Eller
Head-to-Head Record
4 - 3 (7 meetings)
4
3
Pageau Eller
Last 7: Pageau 4-3 Eller

Zone Breakdown

Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Pageau Eller
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pageau
2
1
Pageau Eller
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Pageau Eller
2 total

Situation Matchup

Situation
Pageau
Eller
Edge
Even Strength
59.5% (676)
56.5% (434)
+3.0%
Power Play
67.6% (34)
77.8% (9)
-10.2%
Penalty Kill
60.1% (213)
56.5% (46)
+3.6%
On power play, Eller has a +10.2% edge.

Handedness & Splits

Handedness
Eller shoots left. Pageau is 60.7% vs left-shot opponents (680).
Pageau shoots right. Eller is 56.7% vs right-shot opponents (187).
Home / Away
Pageau
Eller
Home
58.2% (364)
53.1% (211)
Away
61.0% (559)
59.7% (278)
By Period
Pageau
Eller
P1
54.4%
55.4%
P2
62.3%
58.1%
P3
62.0%
57.1%
Final 5 min
63.2%
60.5%

Recent Form

Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pageau
58.0%
59.5%
59.9%
Eller
50.0%
54.0%
56.9%

Recent Faceoffs

Date Period Time Zone Winner
Mar 19, 2026 2 03:04 Offensive Jean-Gabriel Pageau
Mar 19, 2026 1 10:26 Defensive Lars Eller
Oct 18, 2025 3 18:11 Neutral Jean-Gabriel Pageau
Oct 18, 2025 2 14:25 Offensive Lars Eller
Oct 18, 2025 2 09:57 Neutral Lars Eller
Oct 18, 2025 1 17:23 Defensive Jean-Gabriel Pageau
Oct 18, 2025 1 05:31 Defensive Jean-Gabriel Pageau