Jean-Gabriel Pageau vs Lars Eller
2023-24 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jean-Gabriel Pageau holds a +3.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Eller on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Pageau wins 55.6% vs left-shot opponents — Eller shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pageau 55.0% vs Eller 52.0% (+3.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Pageau 52.2%
Defensive zone
Eller 61.1%
Neutral zone
Pageau 52.6%
Result
Lars Eller favored at 53.7%
46.3%
53.7%
Pageau
Eller
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
5
(9 meetings)
4
5
Pageau
Eller
Last 9: Pageau 4-5 Eller
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
Pageau
Eller
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Eller
1
3
Pageau
Eller
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Pageau
1
0
Pageau
Eller
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pageau
Eller
Edge
Even Strength
57.1% (905)
52.8% (742)
+4.3%
Power Play
55.2% (116)
67.6% (34)
-12.4%
Penalty Kill
48.0% (204)
46.2% (156)
+1.8%
On power play, Eller has a +12.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Eller shoots left. Pageau is 55.6% vs left-shot opponents (880).
Pageau shoots right. Eller is 51.4% vs right-shot opponents (333).
Home / Away
Pageau
Eller
Home
57.0% (618)
54.5% (448)
Away
53.9% (607)
50.2% (484)
By Period
Pageau
Eller
P1
54.4%
52.8%
P2
61.0%
50.9%
P3
51.0%
53.4%
OT
50.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
53.8%
55.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pageau
54.0%▼
57.5%
55.4%
Eller
50.0%▼
54.0%
52.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 17, 2024 | 1 | 01:39 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Feb 20, 2024 | 3 | 19:38 | Offensive | Lars Eller |
| Feb 20, 2024 | 3 | 15:52 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Feb 20, 2024 | 2 | 13:07 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Dec 31, 2023 | 3 | 19:17 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Dec 31, 2023 | 3 | 01:22 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Dec 31, 2023 | 1 | 04:35 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Dec 27, 2023 | 3 | 09:28 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Dec 27, 2023 | 2 | 07:23 | Offensive | Lars Eller |