Jean-Gabriel Pageau vs Lars Eller
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jean-Gabriel Pageau holds a +2.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Pageau on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Pageau wins 60.5% vs left-shot opponents — Eller shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pageau 58.8% vs Eller 55.7% (+2.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Pageau 59.9%
Defensive zone
Pageau 55.4%
Neutral zone
Pageau 59.2%
Result
Jean-Gabriel Pageau favored at 57.8%
57.8%
42.2%
Pageau
Eller
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
3
(7 meetings)
4
3
Pageau
Eller
Last 7: Pageau 4-3 Eller
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Pageau
Eller
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pageau
2
1
Pageau
Eller
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Pageau
Eller
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pageau
Eller
Edge
Even Strength
59.1% (687)
56.5% (434)
+2.6%
Power Play
69.4% (36)
77.8% (9)
-8.4%
Penalty Kill
60.1% (213)
56.5% (46)
+3.6%
On power play, Eller has a +8.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Eller shoots left. Pageau is 60.5% vs left-shot opponents (691).
Pageau shoots right. Eller is 56.7% vs right-shot opponents (187).
Home / Away
Pageau
Eller
Home
57.8% (377)
53.1% (211)
Away
61.0% (559)
59.7% (278)
By Period
Pageau
Eller
P1
54.1%
55.4%
P2
62.1%
58.1%
P3
61.8%
57.1%
Final 5 min
63.1%
60.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pageau
54.0%▼
57.5%
59.7%
Eller
50.0%▼
54.0%
56.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 19, 2026 | 2 | 03:04 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Mar 19, 2026 | 1 | 10:26 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Oct 18, 2025 | 3 | 18:11 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Oct 18, 2025 | 2 | 14:25 | Offensive | Lars Eller |
| Oct 18, 2025 | 2 | 09:57 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Oct 18, 2025 | 1 | 17:23 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Oct 18, 2025 | 1 | 05:31 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |