Jean-Gabriel Pageau vs Lars Eller
2024-25 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jean-Gabriel Pageau holds a +7.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Eller on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Pageau wins 61.2% vs left-shot opponents — Eller shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pageau 58.7% vs Eller 51.9% (+7.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Pageau 54.3%
Defensive zone
Eller 51.0%
Neutral zone
Eller 52.8%
Result
Jean-Gabriel Pageau favored at 50.3%
50.3%
49.7%
Pageau
Eller
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
4
(7 meetings)
3
4
Pageau
Eller
Last 6: Pageau 3-3 Eller
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Pageau
2
1
Pageau
Eller
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Eller
1
3
Pageau
Eller
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pageau
Eller
Edge
Even Strength
59.6% (711)
52.8% (650)
+6.8%
Power Play
64.0% (114)
69.2% (13)
-5.2%
Penalty Kill
56.4% (163)
45.5% (88)
+10.9%
On penalty kill, Pageau has a +10.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Eller shoots left. Pageau is 61.2% vs left-shot opponents (763).
Pageau shoots right. Eller is 61.3% vs right-shot opponents (225).
Home / Away
Pageau
Eller
Home
59.3% (506)
52.6% (340)
Away
60.0% (482)
51.8% (411)
By Period
Pageau
Eller
P1
56.8%
52.4%
P2
64.4%
54.1%
P3
56.9%
50.0%
OT
75.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
61.1%
50.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pageau
54.0%▼
57.5%
59.6%
Eller
50.0%▼
54.0%
52.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 6, 2025 | 3 | 09:20 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Apr 6, 2025 | 3 | 09:14 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Apr 6, 2025 | 1 | 18:43 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Apr 6, 2025 | 1 | 15:42 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Apr 6, 2025 | 1 | 10:25 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Nov 5, 2024 | 1 | 02:31 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |