Jean-Gabriel Pageau vs Lars Eller
2020-21 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jean-Gabriel Pageau holds a +6.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Pageau on neutral-zone draws (61% H2H, 18 meetings). Pageau wins 59.5% vs left-shot opponents — Eller shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pageau 55.9% vs Eller 50.3% (+6.3%)
H2H factor
Pageau leads 21-17 in 38 meetings
Offensive zone
Pageau 60.5%
Defensive zone
Pageau 78.6%
Neutral zone
Pageau 69.7%
Result
Jean-Gabriel Pageau favored at 69.6%
69.6%
30.4%
Pageau
Eller
Head-to-Head Record
21
-
17
(38 meetings)
21
17
Pageau
Eller
Last 10: Pageau 6-4 Eller
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
5
5
Pageau
Eller
10 total
Defensive Zone
Even
5
5
Pageau
Eller
10 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Pageau
11
7
Pageau
Eller
18 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pageau
Eller
Edge
Even Strength
58.3% (674)
49.4% (518)
+8.9%
Power Play
57.1% (77)
57.6% (33)
-0.5%
Penalty Kill
42.7% (82)
52.8% (108)
-10.1%
On penalty kill, Eller has a +10.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Eller shoots left. Pageau is 59.5% vs left-shot opponents (496).
Pageau shoots right. Eller is 48.3% vs right-shot opponents (298).
Home / Away
Pageau
Eller
Home
57.4% (439)
49.0% (304)
Away
55.8% (394)
51.5% (355)
By Period
Pageau
Eller
P1
54.0%
55.5%
P2
55.0%
44.0%
P3
60.8%
53.2%
OT
66.7%
42.9%
Final 5 min
56.0%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pageau
54.0%▼
57.5%
56.7%
Eller
50.0%▼
54.0%
50.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 27, 2021 | 3 | 19:55 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Apr 27, 2021 | 2 | 18:36 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Apr 27, 2021 | 2 | 12:39 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Apr 24, 2021 | 3 | 10:52 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Apr 24, 2021 | 3 | 07:58 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Apr 24, 2021 | 3 | 07:35 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Apr 24, 2021 | 3 | 00:06 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Apr 24, 2021 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Apr 24, 2021 | 2 | 07:37 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Apr 24, 2021 | 2 | 02:53 | Offensive | Lars Eller |
| Apr 24, 2021 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Apr 24, 2021 | 1 | 14:03 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Apr 24, 2021 | 1 | 09:24 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Apr 24, 2021 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Apr 22, 2021 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Apr 22, 2021 | 3 | 15:56 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Apr 22, 2021 | 3 | 15:49 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Apr 22, 2021 | 3 | 04:26 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Apr 22, 2021 | 3 | 04:13 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Apr 22, 2021 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Lars Eller |