Jean-Gabriel Pageau vs Leo Carlsson
2023-24 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jean-Gabriel Pageau holds a +20.6% FO% edge overall. Pageau wins 55.6% vs left-shot opponents — Carlsson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pageau 55.0% vs Carlsson 37.1% (+20.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Pageau 76.5%
Defensive zone
Pageau 96.6%
Neutral zone
Pageau 94.2%
Result
Jean-Gabriel Pageau favored at 95.8%
95.8%
4.2%
Pageau
Carlsson
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
0
(3 meetings)
3
0
Pageau
Carlsson
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pageau
2
0
Pageau
Carlsson
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Pageau
1
0
Pageau
Carlsson
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pageau
Carlsson
Edge
Even Strength
57.1% (905)
34.4% (535)
+22.7%
Power Play
55.2% (116)
42.9% (21)
+12.3%
Penalty Kill
48.0% (204)
40.0% (5)
+8.0%
On even strength, Pageau has a +22.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carlsson shoots left. Pageau is 55.6% vs left-shot opponents (880).
Pageau shoots right. Carlsson is 33.5% vs right-shot opponents (167).
Home / Away
Pageau
Carlsson
Home
57.0% (618)
38.6% (254)
Away
53.9% (607)
31.6% (307)
By Period
Pageau
Carlsson
P1
54.4%
35.9%
P2
61.0%
33.8%
P3
51.0%
34.3%
OT
50.0%
44.4%
Final 5 min
53.8%
36.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pageau
54.0%▼
57.5%
55.4%
Carlsson
38.0%▼
39.5%
34.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 13, 2023 | 3 | 07:46 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Dec 13, 2023 | 2 | 07:13 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Dec 13, 2023 | 1 | 09:15 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |