Jean-Gabriel Pageau vs Leo Carlsson

All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report

Jean-Gabriel Pageau holds a +13.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Pageau on defensive-zone draws (78% H2H, 9 meetings). Pageau wins 55.6% vs left-shot opponents — Carlsson shoots left.

Prediction Breakdown
Overall FO% (Bayesian) Pageau 54.7% vs Carlsson 41.4% (+13.8%)
H2H factor Pageau leads 9-6 in 15 meetings
Result Jean-Gabriel Pageau favored at 64.2%
64.2%
35.8%
Pageau Carlsson
Head-to-Head Record
9 - 6 (15 meetings)
9
6
Pageau Carlsson
Last 10: Pageau 4-6 Carlsson

Zone Breakdown

Offensive Zone
Edge: Carlsson
0
2
Pageau Carlsson
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pageau
7
2
Pageau Carlsson
9 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Pageau Carlsson
4 total

Situation Matchup

Situation
Pageau
Carlsson
Edge
Even Strength
55.7% (9,301)
41.1% (1,716)
+14.6%
Power Play
56.8% (989)
42.8% (152)
+14.0%
Penalty Kill
49.5% (2,019)
35.3% (116)
+14.2%
On even strength, Pageau has a +14.6% edge.

Handedness & Splits

Handedness
Carlsson shoots left. Pageau is 55.6% vs left-shot opponents (8,648).
Pageau shoots right. Carlsson is 42.0% vs right-shot opponents (593).
Home / Away
Pageau
Carlsson
Home
56.3% (6,136)
42.9% (956)
Away
53.2% (6,173)
39.1% (1,028)
By Period
Pageau
Carlsson
P1
54.7%
44.2%
P2
56.2%
35.8%
P3
53.3%
43.5%
OT
54.5%
41.7%
Final 5 min
53.6%
39.8%

Recent Form

Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pageau
72.0%
62.5%
54.7%
Carlsson
40.0%
43.5%
40.9%

Recent Faceoffs

Date Period Time Zone Winner
Dec 11, 2025 3 16:07 Defensive Jean-Gabriel Pageau
Dec 11, 2025 3 02:37 Neutral Jean-Gabriel Pageau
Dec 11, 2025 2 14:44 Defensive Jean-Gabriel Pageau
Dec 11, 2025 2 05:25 Offensive Leo Carlsson
Dec 11, 2025 1 19:25 Defensive Jean-Gabriel Pageau
Dec 11, 2025 1 19:06 Neutral Leo Carlsson
Mar 9, 2025 3 18:15 Defensive Leo Carlsson
Mar 9, 2025 2 08:05 Defensive Leo Carlsson
Mar 9, 2025 1 13:46 Offensive Leo Carlsson
Mar 9, 2025 1 13:34 Neutral Leo Carlsson
Oct 29, 2024 3 09:02 Defensive Jean-Gabriel Pageau
Oct 29, 2024 2 13:59 Defensive Jean-Gabriel Pageau
Dec 13, 2023 3 07:46 Neutral Jean-Gabriel Pageau
Dec 13, 2023 2 07:13 Defensive Jean-Gabriel Pageau
Dec 13, 2023 1 09:15 Defensive Jean-Gabriel Pageau