Jean-Gabriel Pageau vs Leo Carlsson
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jean-Gabriel Pageau holds a +13.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Pageau on defensive-zone draws (78% H2H, 9 meetings). Pageau wins 55.6% vs left-shot opponents — Carlsson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pageau 54.7% vs Carlsson 41.4% (+13.8%)
H2H factor
Pageau leads 9-6 in 15 meetings
Result
Jean-Gabriel Pageau favored at 64.2%
64.2%
35.8%
Pageau
Carlsson
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
6
(15 meetings)
9
6
Pageau
Carlsson
Last 10: Pageau 4-6 Carlsson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Carlsson
0
2
Pageau
Carlsson
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pageau
7
2
Pageau
Carlsson
9 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Pageau
Carlsson
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pageau
Carlsson
Edge
Even Strength
55.7% (9,301)
41.1% (1,716)
+14.6%
Power Play
56.8% (989)
42.8% (152)
+14.0%
Penalty Kill
49.5% (2,019)
35.3% (116)
+14.2%
On even strength, Pageau has a +14.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carlsson shoots left. Pageau is 55.6% vs left-shot opponents (8,648).
Pageau shoots right. Carlsson is 42.0% vs right-shot opponents (593).
Home / Away
Pageau
Carlsson
Home
56.3% (6,136)
42.9% (956)
Away
53.2% (6,173)
39.1% (1,028)
By Period
Pageau
Carlsson
P1
54.7%
44.2%
P2
56.2%
35.8%
P3
53.3%
43.5%
OT
54.5%
41.7%
Final 5 min
53.6%
39.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pageau
72.0%▲
62.5%
54.7%
Carlsson
40.0%▼
43.5%
40.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 11, 2025 | 3 | 16:07 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Dec 11, 2025 | 3 | 02:37 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Dec 11, 2025 | 2 | 14:44 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Dec 11, 2025 | 2 | 05:25 | Offensive | Leo Carlsson |
| Dec 11, 2025 | 1 | 19:25 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Dec 11, 2025 | 1 | 19:06 | Neutral | Leo Carlsson |
| Mar 9, 2025 | 3 | 18:15 | Defensive | Leo Carlsson |
| Mar 9, 2025 | 2 | 08:05 | Defensive | Leo Carlsson |
| Mar 9, 2025 | 1 | 13:46 | Offensive | Leo Carlsson |
| Mar 9, 2025 | 1 | 13:34 | Neutral | Leo Carlsson |
| Oct 29, 2024 | 3 | 09:02 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Oct 29, 2024 | 2 | 13:59 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Dec 13, 2023 | 3 | 07:46 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Dec 13, 2023 | 2 | 07:13 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Dec 13, 2023 | 1 | 09:15 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |