Jean-Gabriel Pageau vs Mason McTavish
2022-23 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jean-Gabriel Pageau holds a +14.9% FO% edge overall. Pageau wins 57.2% vs left-shot opponents — McTavish shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pageau 56.7% vs McTavish 43.3% (+14.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Pageau 79.9%
Defensive zone
Pageau 91.6%
Neutral zone
Pageau 84.5%
Result
Jean-Gabriel Pageau favored at 79.9%
79.9%
20.1%
Pageau
McTavish
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
0
(2 meetings)
2
0
Pageau
McTavish
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Pageau
2
0
Pageau
McTavish
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pageau
McTavish
Edge
Even Strength
58.8% (889)
42.4% (675)
+16.4%
Power Play
58.2% (182)
40.5% (42)
+17.7%
Penalty Kill
48.6% (185)
50.0% (8)
-1.4%
On power play, Pageau has a +17.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McTavish shoots left. Pageau is 57.2% vs left-shot opponents (880).
Pageau shoots right. McTavish is 44.7% vs right-shot opponents (284).
Home / Away
Pageau
McTavish
Home
59.0% (595)
41.9% (372)
Away
55.7% (661)
42.8% (353)
By Period
Pageau
McTavish
P1
58.9%
47.2%
P2
57.9%
36.2%
P3
55.6%
43.6%
OT
44.4%
0.0%
Final 5 min
56.0%
44.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pageau
54.0%▼
57.5%
57.2%
McTavish
46.0%▬
45.5%
42.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 15, 2023 | 1 | 13:27 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Mar 15, 2023 | 1 | 00:45 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |