Jean-Gabriel Pageau vs Mason McTavish
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jean-Gabriel Pageau holds a +6.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Pageau on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 9 meetings). Pageau wins 55.6% vs left-shot opponents — McTavish shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pageau 54.8% vs McTavish 48.7% (+6.2%)
H2H factor
Pageau leads 15-8 in 23 meetings
Offensive zone
Pageau 77.5%
Defensive zone
Pageau 97.5%
Neutral zone
Pageau 86.9%
Result
Jean-Gabriel Pageau favored at 86.9%
86.9%
13.1%
Pageau
McTavish
Head-to-Head Record
15
-
8
(23 meetings)
15
8
Pageau
McTavish
Last 10: Pageau 7-3 McTavish
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Pageau
6
3
Pageau
McTavish
9 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pageau
5
3
Pageau
McTavish
8 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Pageau
4
2
Pageau
McTavish
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pageau
McTavish
Edge
Even Strength
55.7% (9,486)
48.2% (2,788)
+7.5%
Power Play
57.0% (1,002)
52.6% (435)
+4.4%
Penalty Kill
49.6% (2,069)
34.3% (35)
+15.3%
On penalty kill, Pageau has a +15.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McTavish shoots left. Pageau is 55.6% vs left-shot opponents (8,837).
Pageau shoots right. McTavish is 49.9% vs right-shot opponents (1,103).
Home / Away
Pageau
McTavish
Home
56.3% (6,214)
49.8% (1,678)
Away
53.4% (6,343)
47.4% (1,580)
By Period
Pageau
McTavish
P1
54.6%
50.0%
P2
56.3%
47.8%
P3
53.5%
48.4%
OT
54.4%
43.5%
Final 5 min
53.9%
49.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pageau
54.0%▼
57.5%
54.8%
McTavish
46.0%▬
45.5%
48.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 4, 2026 | 2 | 10:05 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Mar 4, 2026 | 1 | 17:44 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Dec 11, 2025 | 3 | 11:51 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Dec 11, 2025 | 3 | 05:55 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Dec 11, 2025 | 3 | 05:47 | Offensive | Mason McTavish |
| Dec 11, 2025 | 3 | 00:45 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Dec 11, 2025 | 1 | 10:27 | Offensive | Mason McTavish |
| Mar 9, 2025 | 3 | 12:21 | Defensive | Mason McTavish |
| Mar 9, 2025 | 3 | 08:18 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Mar 9, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Mar 9, 2025 | 2 | 19:37 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Mar 9, 2025 | 2 | 19:03 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Mar 9, 2025 | 2 | 01:11 | Defensive | Mason McTavish |
| Oct 29, 2024 | 3 | 13:08 | Defensive | Mason McTavish |
| Oct 29, 2024 | 3 | 05:53 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Oct 29, 2024 | 1 | 12:27 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Mar 10, 2024 | 3 | 09:08 | Offensive | Mason McTavish |
| Mar 10, 2024 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mason McTavish |
| Mar 10, 2024 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Mar 10, 2024 | 1 | 00:07 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |