Jean-Gabriel Pageau vs Matty Beniers
2023-24 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jean-Gabriel Pageau holds a +8.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Pageau on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Pageau wins 55.6% vs left-shot opponents — Beniers shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pageau 55.0% vs Beniers 47.6% (+8.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Pageau 72.1%
Defensive zone
Pageau 95.6%
Neutral zone
Pageau 91.4%
Result
Jean-Gabriel Pageau favored at 92.8%
92.8%
7.2%
Pageau
Beniers
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
1
(6 meetings)
5
1
Pageau
Beniers
Last 6: Pageau 5-1 Beniers
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pageau
2
0
Pageau
Beniers
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Pageau
3
1
Pageau
Beniers
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pageau
Beniers
Edge
Even Strength
57.1% (905)
47.3% (945)
+9.8%
Power Play
55.2% (116)
51.7% (145)
+3.5%
Penalty Kill
48.0% (204)
23.8% (21)
+24.2%
On penalty kill, Pageau has a +24.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Beniers shoots left. Pageau is 55.6% vs left-shot opponents (880).
Pageau shoots right. Beniers is 44.3% vs right-shot opponents (393).
Home / Away
Pageau
Beniers
Home
57.0% (618)
49.6% (565)
Away
53.9% (607)
45.2% (546)
By Period
Pageau
Beniers
P1
54.4%
48.0%
P2
61.0%
49.0%
P3
51.0%
46.5%
OT
50.0%
23.5%
Final 5 min
53.8%
51.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pageau
54.0%▼
57.5%
55.4%
Beniers
44.0%▼
50.5%
47.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 13, 2024 | 3 | 19:01 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Feb 13, 2024 | 3 | 18:57 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Feb 13, 2024 | 2 | 14:37 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Nov 16, 2023 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Nov 16, 2023 | 3 | 06:02 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Nov 16, 2023 | 2 | 15:34 | Neutral | Matty Beniers |