Jean-Gabriel Pageau vs Matty Beniers
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jean-Gabriel Pageau holds a +10.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Pageau on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Pageau wins 61.8% vs left-shot opponents — Beniers shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pageau 58.8% vs Beniers 49.2% (+10.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Pageau 66.9%
Defensive zone
Pageau 94.3%
Neutral zone
Pageau 92.0%
Result
Jean-Gabriel Pageau favored at 93.7%
93.7%
6.3%
Pageau
Beniers
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
0
(4 meetings)
4
0
Pageau
Beniers
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pageau
3
0
Pageau
Beniers
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Pageau
1
0
Pageau
Beniers
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pageau
Beniers
Edge
Even Strength
59.2% (502)
48.8% (647)
+10.4%
Power Play
69.6% (23)
53.8% (26)
+15.8%
Penalty Kill
61.3% (163)
50.0% (32)
+11.3%
On power play, Pageau has a +15.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Beniers shoots left. Pageau is 61.8% vs left-shot opponents (502).
Pageau shoots right. Beniers is 45.1% vs right-shot opponents (233).
Home / Away
Pageau
Beniers
Home
59.5% (299)
52.7% (357)
Away
60.4% (389)
45.4% (348)
By Period
Pageau
Beniers
P1
55.3%
47.9%
P2
62.2%
51.9%
P3
61.1%
46.8%
OT
80.0%
66.7%
Final 5 min
62.4%
42.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pageau
72.0%▲
62.5%
60.0%
Beniers
64.0%▲
51.0%
49.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 21, 2026 | 3 | 16:32 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Jan 21, 2026 | 2 | 14:33 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Jan 21, 2026 | 2 | 14:26 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Jan 21, 2026 | 2 | 03:18 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |