Jean-Gabriel Pageau vs Matty Beniers
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jean-Gabriel Pageau holds a +10.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Pageau on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Pageau wins 60.5% vs left-shot opponents — Beniers shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pageau 58.8% vs Beniers 49.4% (+10.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Pageau 76.9%
Defensive zone
Pageau 94.6%
Neutral zone
Pageau 93.1%
Result
Jean-Gabriel Pageau favored at 94.2%
94.2%
5.8%
Pageau
Beniers
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
0
(4 meetings)
4
0
Pageau
Beniers
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pageau
3
0
Pageau
Beniers
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Pageau
1
0
Pageau
Beniers
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pageau
Beniers
Edge
Even Strength
59.1% (687)
48.9% (833)
+10.2%
Power Play
69.4% (36)
58.3% (36)
+11.1%
Penalty Kill
60.1% (213)
50.0% (32)
+10.1%
On power play, Pageau has a +11.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Beniers shoots left. Pageau is 60.5% vs left-shot opponents (691).
Pageau shoots right. Beniers is 45.1% vs right-shot opponents (286).
Home / Away
Pageau
Beniers
Home
57.8% (377)
52.4% (460)
Away
61.0% (559)
46.0% (441)
By Period
Pageau
Beniers
P1
54.1%
48.4%
P2
62.1%
51.1%
P3
61.8%
47.8%
OT
75.0%
66.7%
Final 5 min
63.1%
45.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pageau
54.0%▼
57.5%
59.7%
Beniers
44.0%▼
50.5%
49.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 21, 2026 | 3 | 16:32 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Jan 21, 2026 | 2 | 14:33 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Jan 21, 2026 | 2 | 14:26 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Jan 21, 2026 | 2 | 03:18 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |