Jean-Gabriel Pageau vs Matty Beniers
2024-25 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jean-Gabriel Pageau holds a +11.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Pageau on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Pageau wins 61.2% vs left-shot opponents — Beniers shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pageau 58.7% vs Beniers 47.8% (+11.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Pageau 86.7%
Defensive zone
Pageau 92.1%
Neutral zone
Pageau 92.2%
Result
Jean-Gabriel Pageau favored at 90.9%
90.9%
9.1%
Pageau
Beniers
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
0
(9 meetings)
9
0
Pageau
Beniers
Last 9: Pageau 9-0 Beniers
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Pageau
2
0
Pageau
Beniers
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pageau
3
0
Pageau
Beniers
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Pageau
4
0
Pageau
Beniers
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pageau
Beniers
Edge
Even Strength
59.6% (711)
48.3% (1,050)
+11.3%
Power Play
64.0% (114)
42.9% (105)
+21.1%
Penalty Kill
56.4% (163)
43.6% (39)
+12.8%
On power play, Pageau has a +21.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Beniers shoots left. Pageau is 61.2% vs left-shot opponents (763).
Pageau shoots right. Beniers is 44.5% vs right-shot opponents (373).
Home / Away
Pageau
Beniers
Home
59.3% (506)
48.7% (630)
Away
60.0% (482)
46.5% (564)
By Period
Pageau
Beniers
P1
56.8%
49.2%
P2
64.4%
45.0%
P3
56.9%
49.3%
OT
75.0%
22.2%
Final 5 min
61.1%
45.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pageau
54.0%▼
57.5%
59.6%
Beniers
44.0%▼
50.5%
47.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 5, 2024 | 1 | 19:38 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Dec 5, 2024 | 1 | 15:00 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Nov 16, 2024 | 3 | 16:48 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Nov 16, 2024 | 3 | 16:47 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Nov 16, 2024 | 3 | 10:01 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Nov 16, 2024 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Nov 16, 2024 | 2 | 12:25 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Nov 16, 2024 | 2 | 03:41 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Nov 16, 2024 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |