Jean-Gabriel Pageau vs Mikael Backlund
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jean-Gabriel Pageau holds a +10.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Pageau on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Pageau wins 60.5% vs left-shot opponents — Backlund shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pageau 58.8% vs Backlund 49.7% (+10.0%)
H2H factor
Pageau leads 9-4 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
Pageau 90.6%
Defensive zone
Pageau 65.9%
Neutral zone
Pageau 86.5%
Result
Jean-Gabriel Pageau favored at 84.6%
84.6%
15.4%
Pageau
Backlund
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
4
(13 meetings)
9
4
Pageau
Backlund
Last 10: Pageau 6-4 Backlund
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Pageau
4
0
Pageau
Backlund
4 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Pageau
Backlund
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Pageau
4
3
Pageau
Backlund
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pageau
Backlund
Edge
Even Strength
59.1% (687)
50.1% (891)
+9.0%
Power Play
69.4% (36)
53.1% (64)
+16.3%
Penalty Kill
60.1% (213)
47.8% (278)
+12.3%
On power play, Pageau has a +16.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Backlund shoots left. Pageau is 60.5% vs left-shot opponents (691).
Pageau shoots right. Backlund is 49.2% vs right-shot opponents (362).
Home / Away
Pageau
Backlund
Home
57.8% (377)
48.1% (580)
Away
61.0% (559)
51.1% (653)
By Period
Pageau
Backlund
P1
54.1%
45.1%
P2
62.1%
54.7%
P3
61.8%
49.0%
OT
75.0%
46.2%
Final 5 min
63.1%
47.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pageau
54.0%▼
57.5%
59.7%
Backlund
52.0%▲
48.0%
49.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 14, 2026 | 3 | 18:54 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Mar 14, 2026 | 3 | 12:58 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Mar 14, 2026 | 3 | 08:28 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Mar 14, 2026 | 3 | 02:17 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Mar 14, 2026 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Mar 14, 2026 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Mar 14, 2026 | 1 | 19:07 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Mar 14, 2026 | 1 | 10:50 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Mar 14, 2026 | 1 | 08:42 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Mar 14, 2026 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Jan 17, 2026 | 3 | 11:56 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Jan 17, 2026 | 2 | 11:49 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Jan 17, 2026 | 1 | 01:00 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |