Jean-Gabriel Pageau vs Mikael Backlund
2023-24 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jean-Gabriel Pageau holds a +5.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Pageau on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Pageau wins 55.6% vs left-shot opponents — Backlund shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pageau 55.0% vs Backlund 50.3% (+5.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Pageau 74.0%
Defensive zone
Pageau 75.5%
Neutral zone
Pageau 78.0%
Result
Jean-Gabriel Pageau favored at 75.9%
75.9%
24.1%
Pageau
Backlund
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
3
(8 meetings)
5
3
Pageau
Backlund
Last 8: Pageau 5-3 Backlund
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Pageau
2
1
Pageau
Backlund
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Backlund
0
2
Pageau
Backlund
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Pageau
3
0
Pageau
Backlund
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pageau
Backlund
Edge
Even Strength
57.1% (905)
51.0% (1,205)
+6.1%
Power Play
55.2% (116)
59.3% (108)
-4.1%
Penalty Kill
48.0% (204)
42.3% (234)
+5.7%
On even strength, Pageau has a +6.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Backlund shoots left. Pageau is 55.6% vs left-shot opponents (880).
Pageau shoots right. Backlund is 53.8% vs right-shot opponents (535).
Home / Away
Pageau
Backlund
Home
57.0% (618)
51.2% (782)
Away
53.9% (607)
49.4% (765)
By Period
Pageau
Backlund
P1
54.4%
51.5%
P2
61.0%
49.8%
P3
51.0%
49.9%
OT
50.0%
37.5%
Final 5 min
53.8%
50.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pageau
54.0%▼
57.5%
55.4%
Backlund
52.0%▲
48.0%
50.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 10, 2024 | 3 | 17:28 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Feb 10, 2024 | 2 | 19:09 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Feb 10, 2024 | 1 | 19:21 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Feb 10, 2024 | 1 | 16:32 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Nov 18, 2023 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Nov 18, 2023 | 3 | 12:45 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Nov 18, 2023 | 1 | 16:52 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Nov 18, 2023 | 1 | 08:11 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |