Jean-Gabriel Pageau vs Mikael Backlund
2021-22 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jean-Gabriel Pageau holds a +4.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Pageau on offensive-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings). Pageau wins 56.3% vs left-shot opponents — Backlund shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pageau 55.0% vs Backlund 50.5% (+4.8%)
H2H factor
Pageau leads 9-5 in 14 meetings
Offensive zone
Pageau 75.4%
Defensive zone
Pageau 77.3%
Neutral zone
Pageau 78.6%
Result
Jean-Gabriel Pageau favored at 76.6%
76.6%
23.4%
Pageau
Backlund
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
5
(14 meetings)
9
5
Pageau
Backlund
Last 10: Pageau 6-4 Backlund
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Pageau
5
1
Pageau
Backlund
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Backlund
3
4
Pageau
Backlund
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Pageau
1
0
Pageau
Backlund
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pageau
Backlund
Edge
Even Strength
55.8% (1,000)
51.5% (983)
+4.3%
Power Play
56.6% (182)
49.4% (87)
+7.2%
Penalty Kill
51.2% (170)
45.3% (159)
+5.9%
On power play, Pageau has a +7.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Backlund shoots left. Pageau is 56.3% vs left-shot opponents (983).
Pageau shoots right. Backlund is 49.5% vs right-shot opponents (487).
Home / Away
Pageau
Backlund
Home
57.1% (674)
51.6% (653)
Away
53.5% (678)
49.3% (576)
By Period
Pageau
Backlund
P1
56.9%
50.0%
P2
54.5%
49.8%
P3
54.7%
51.7%
OT
52.9%
53.3%
Final 5 min
55.3%
50.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pageau
54.0%▼
57.5%
55.3%
Backlund
52.0%▲
48.0%
50.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 12, 2022 | 2 | 18:01 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Feb 12, 2022 | 2 | 17:52 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Feb 12, 2022 | 1 | 19:55 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Feb 12, 2022 | 1 | 16:25 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Feb 12, 2022 | 1 | 16:14 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Feb 12, 2022 | 1 | 12:33 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Nov 20, 2021 | 3 | 18:26 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Nov 20, 2021 | 3 | 18:15 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Nov 20, 2021 | 3 | 14:31 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Nov 20, 2021 | 3 | 06:07 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Nov 20, 2021 | 2 | 12:35 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Nov 20, 2021 | 2 | 06:10 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Nov 20, 2021 | 1 | 14:14 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Nov 20, 2021 | 1 | 01:23 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |