Jean-Gabriel Pageau vs Mikael Backlund
2022-23 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jean-Gabriel Pageau holds a +6.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Pageau on neutral-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings). Pageau wins 57.2% vs left-shot opponents — Backlund shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pageau 56.7% vs Backlund 50.8% (+6.3%)
H2H factor
Pageau leads 8-5 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
Pageau 61.9%
Defensive zone
Pageau 86.7%
Neutral zone
Pageau 76.4%
Result
Jean-Gabriel Pageau favored at 74.3%
74.3%
25.7%
Pageau
Backlund
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
5
(13 meetings)
8
5
Pageau
Backlund
Last 10: Pageau 6-4 Backlund
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Backlund
1
3
Pageau
Backlund
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pageau
2
1
Pageau
Backlund
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Pageau
5
1
Pageau
Backlund
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pageau
Backlund
Edge
Even Strength
58.8% (889)
51.9% (1,083)
+6.9%
Power Play
58.2% (182)
51.7% (120)
+6.5%
Penalty Kill
48.6% (185)
44.3% (183)
+4.3%
On even strength, Pageau has a +6.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Backlund shoots left. Pageau is 57.2% vs left-shot opponents (880).
Pageau shoots right. Backlund is 48.9% vs right-shot opponents (562).
Home / Away
Pageau
Backlund
Home
59.0% (595)
51.9% (673)
Away
55.7% (661)
49.9% (713)
By Period
Pageau
Backlund
P1
58.9%
51.4%
P2
57.9%
50.5%
P3
55.6%
51.4%
OT
44.4%
35.0%
Final 5 min
56.0%
50.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pageau
54.0%▼
57.5%
57.2%
Backlund
52.0%▲
48.0%
50.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 6, 2023 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Jan 6, 2023 | 2 | 05:25 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Jan 6, 2023 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Jan 6, 2023 | 1 | 11:53 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Jan 6, 2023 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Nov 7, 2022 | OT | 01:23 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Nov 7, 2022 | 3 | 15:53 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Nov 7, 2022 | 2 | 19:04 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Nov 7, 2022 | 2 | 16:32 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Nov 7, 2022 | 2 | 10:50 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Nov 7, 2022 | 1 | 17:05 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Nov 7, 2022 | 1 | 13:55 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Nov 7, 2022 | 1 | 11:16 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |