Jean-Gabriel Pageau vs Nick Bjugstad
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jean-Gabriel Pageau holds a +10.2% FO% edge overall. Pageau wins 55.4% vs right-shot opponents — Bjugstad shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pageau 58.8% vs Bjugstad 49.9% (+10.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Bjugstad 54.9%
Defensive zone
Bjugstad 57.8%
Neutral zone
Bjugstad 53.5%
Result
Nick Bjugstad favored at 57.8%
42.2%
57.8%
Pageau
Bjugstad
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Pageau
Bjugstad
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bjugstad
0
1
Pageau
Bjugstad
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pageau
Bjugstad
Edge
Even Strength
59.2% (502)
50.9% (212)
+8.3%
Power Play
69.6% (23)
40.0% (5)
+29.6%
Penalty Kill
61.3% (163)
44.1% (34)
+17.2%
On power play, Pageau has a +29.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bjugstad shoots right. Pageau is 55.4% vs right-shot opponents (186).
Pageau shoots right. Bjugstad is 53.1% vs right-shot opponents (49).
Home / Away
Pageau
Bjugstad
Home
59.5% (299)
52.3% (151)
Away
60.4% (389)
46.0% (100)
By Period
Pageau
Bjugstad
P1
55.3%
44.9%
P2
62.2%
56.8%
P3
61.1%
48.3%
OT
80.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
62.4%
48.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pageau
72.0%▲
62.5%
60.0%
Bjugstad
44.0%▼
49.0%
49.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 22, 2025 | 2 | 15:55 | Defensive | Nick Bjugstad |