Jean-Gabriel Pageau vs Nick Bjugstad
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jean-Gabriel Pageau holds a +10.9% FO% edge overall. Pageau wins 57.6% vs right-shot opponents — Bjugstad shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pageau 58.8% vs Bjugstad 49.1% (+10.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Bjugstad 51.5%
Defensive zone
Bjugstad 51.3%
Neutral zone
Bjugstad 56.2%
Result
Nick Bjugstad favored at 51.3%
48.7%
51.3%
Pageau
Bjugstad
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Pageau
Bjugstad
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bjugstad
0
1
Pageau
Bjugstad
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pageau
Bjugstad
Edge
Even Strength
59.1% (687)
48.9% (280)
+10.2%
Power Play
69.4% (36)
50.0% (6)
+19.4%
Penalty Kill
60.1% (213)
47.2% (36)
+12.9%
On power play, Pageau has a +19.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bjugstad shoots right. Pageau is 57.6% vs right-shot opponents (243).
Pageau shoots right. Bjugstad is 50.0% vs right-shot opponents (68).
Home / Away
Pageau
Bjugstad
Home
57.8% (377)
48.4% (190)
Away
61.0% (559)
49.2% (132)
By Period
Pageau
Bjugstad
P1
54.1%
41.7%
P2
62.1%
56.6%
P3
61.8%
48.7%
OT
75.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
63.1%
51.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pageau
54.0%▼
57.5%
59.7%
Bjugstad
40.0%▼
48.0%
48.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 22, 2025 | 2 | 15:55 | Defensive | Nick Bjugstad |