Jean-Gabriel Pageau vs Nick Bjugstad
2022-23 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jean-Gabriel Pageau holds a +9.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Pageau on offensive-zone draws (82% H2H, 11 meetings). Pageau wins 57.4% vs right-shot opponents — Bjugstad shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pageau 56.7% vs Bjugstad 48.0% (+9.4%)
H2H factor
Pageau leads 12-6 in 18 meetings
Offensive zone
Pageau 94.6%
Defensive zone
Pageau 79.9%
Neutral zone
Pageau 88.1%
Result
Jean-Gabriel Pageau favored at 91.1%
91.1%
8.9%
Pageau
Bjugstad
Head-to-Head Record
12
-
6
(18 meetings)
12
6
Pageau
Bjugstad
Last 10: Pageau 8-2 Bjugstad
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Pageau
9
2
Pageau
Bjugstad
11 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Pageau
Bjugstad
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bjugstad
2
3
Pageau
Bjugstad
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pageau
Bjugstad
Edge
Even Strength
58.8% (889)
49.4% (867)
+9.4%
Power Play
58.2% (182)
56.0% (25)
+2.2%
Penalty Kill
48.6% (185)
40.7% (216)
+7.9%
On even strength, Pageau has a +9.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bjugstad shoots right. Pageau is 57.4% vs right-shot opponents (376).
Pageau shoots right. Bjugstad is 41.3% vs right-shot opponents (312).
Home / Away
Pageau
Bjugstad
Home
59.0% (595)
46.5% (480)
Away
55.7% (661)
48.9% (628)
By Period
Pageau
Bjugstad
P1
58.9%
48.7%
P2
57.9%
45.6%
P3
55.6%
49.1%
OT
44.4%
50.0%
Final 5 min
56.0%
45.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pageau
54.0%▼
57.5%
57.2%
Bjugstad
40.0%▼
48.0%
47.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 16, 2022 | 3 | 10:59 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Dec 16, 2022 | 3 | 08:26 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Dec 16, 2022 | 3 | 02:41 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Dec 16, 2022 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nick Bjugstad |
| Dec 16, 2022 | 2 | 19:22 | Defensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Dec 16, 2022 | 2 | 09:53 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Dec 16, 2022 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Dec 16, 2022 | 1 | 04:36 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Dec 16, 2022 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Nov 10, 2022 | 3 | 18:32 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Nov 10, 2022 | 3 | 18:22 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Nov 10, 2022 | 3 | 16:05 | Neutral | Nick Bjugstad |
| Nov 10, 2022 | 3 | 09:11 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Nov 10, 2022 | 3 | 09:07 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Nov 10, 2022 | 3 | 01:00 | Neutral | Nick Bjugstad |
| Nov 10, 2022 | 2 | 06:40 | Offensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Nov 10, 2022 | 1 | 15:21 | Offensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Nov 10, 2022 | 1 | 11:55 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |