Jean-Gabriel Pageau vs Nick Bjugstad
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jean-Gabriel Pageau holds a +5.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Pageau on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 20 meetings). Pageau wins 53.0% vs right-shot opponents — Bjugstad shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pageau 54.8% vs Bjugstad 48.9% (+5.9%)
H2H factor
Pageau leads 24-14 in 38 meetings
Offensive zone
Pageau 76.9%
Defensive zone
Pageau 95.2%
Neutral zone
Pageau 93.8%
Result
Jean-Gabriel Pageau favored at 85.1%
85.1%
14.9%
Pageau
Bjugstad
Head-to-Head Record
24
-
14
(38 meetings)
24
14
Pageau
Bjugstad
Last 10: Pageau 8-2 Bjugstad
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Pageau
15
5
Pageau
Bjugstad
20 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pageau
4
2
Pageau
Bjugstad
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bjugstad
5
7
Pageau
Bjugstad
12 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pageau
Bjugstad
Edge
Even Strength
55.7% (9,486)
48.6% (6,634)
+7.1%
Power Play
57.0% (1,002)
55.2% (829)
+1.8%
Penalty Kill
49.6% (2,069)
44.3% (614)
+5.3%
On even strength, Pageau has a +7.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bjugstad shoots right. Pageau is 53.0% vs right-shot opponents (3,718).
Pageau shoots right. Bjugstad is 45.3% vs right-shot opponents (2,330).
Home / Away
Pageau
Bjugstad
Home
56.3% (6,214)
49.8% (4,020)
Away
53.4% (6,343)
48.1% (4,057)
By Period
Pageau
Bjugstad
P1
54.6%
49.0%
P2
56.3%
49.1%
P3
53.5%
48.4%
OT
54.4%
61.3%
Final 5 min
53.9%
47.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pageau
54.0%▼
57.5%
54.8%
Bjugstad
40.0%▼
48.0%
48.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 22, 2025 | 2 | 15:55 | Defensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Jan 11, 2025 | 3 | 12:36 | Neutral | Nick Bjugstad |
| Jan 4, 2024 | 3 | 17:26 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Jan 4, 2024 | 2 | 02:08 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Oct 17, 2023 | 3 | 16:26 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Oct 17, 2023 | 3 | 00:35 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Oct 17, 2023 | 2 | 03:59 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Oct 17, 2023 | 2 | 03:47 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Oct 17, 2023 | 1 | 13:11 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Dec 16, 2022 | 3 | 10:59 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Dec 16, 2022 | 3 | 08:26 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Dec 16, 2022 | 3 | 02:41 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Dec 16, 2022 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nick Bjugstad |
| Dec 16, 2022 | 2 | 19:22 | Defensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Dec 16, 2022 | 2 | 09:53 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Dec 16, 2022 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Dec 16, 2022 | 1 | 04:36 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Dec 16, 2022 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Nov 10, 2022 | 3 | 18:32 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Nov 10, 2022 | 3 | 18:22 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |