Jean-Gabriel Pageau vs Nick Bonino
2019-20 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (53.5% vs 52.6%). Look for Pageau on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pageau 53.2% vs Bonino 52.3% (+0.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Pageau 64.1%
Defensive zone
Pageau 53.9%
Neutral zone
Pageau 57.9%
Result
Jean-Gabriel Pageau favored at 58.5%
58.5%
41.5%
Pageau
Bonino
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
2
(7 meetings)
5
2
Pageau
Bonino
Last 7: Pageau 5-2 Bonino
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Pageau
2
0
Pageau
Bonino
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bonino
0
2
Pageau
Bonino
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Pageau
3
0
Pageau
Bonino
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pageau
Bonino
Edge
Even Strength
53.5% (826)
52.0% (717)
+1.5%
Power Play
59.2% (120)
62.7% (67)
-3.5%
Penalty Kill
50.2% (203)
50.7% (144)
-0.5%
On power play, Bonino has a +3.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bonino shoots left. Pageau is 51.6% vs left-shot opponents (796).
Pageau shoots right. Bonino is 53.3% vs right-shot opponents (381).
Home / Away
Pageau
Bonino
Home
55.7% (618)
54.8% (429)
Away
51.0% (531)
50.7% (499)
By Period
Pageau
Bonino
P1
52.5%
53.5%
P2
56.1%
49.5%
P3
50.8%
54.8%
OT
61.3%
45.5%
Final 5 min
51.3%
47.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pageau
54.0%▼
57.5%
53.5%
Bonino
46.0%▼
47.5%
52.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 19, 2019 | OT | 02:16 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Dec 19, 2019 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Dec 19, 2019 | 3 | 14:12 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| Dec 19, 2019 | 2 | 10:59 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Dec 19, 2019 | 2 | 01:51 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| Dec 19, 2019 | 2 | 00:08 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Dec 19, 2019 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |