Jean-Gabriel Pageau vs Nick Bonino
2021-22 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jean-Gabriel Pageau holds a +3.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Bonino on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Pageau wins 56.3% vs left-shot opponents — Bonino shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pageau 55.0% vs Bonino 51.2% (+3.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Pageau 60.2%
Defensive zone
Pageau 51.7%
Neutral zone
Pageau 54.8%
Result
Jean-Gabriel Pageau favored at 55.0%
55.0%
45.0%
Pageau
Bonino
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
4
(8 meetings)
4
4
Pageau
Bonino
Last 8: Pageau 4-4 Bonino
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Pageau
2
0
Pageau
Bonino
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bonino
1
2
Pageau
Bonino
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bonino
1
2
Pageau
Bonino
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pageau
Bonino
Edge
Even Strength
55.8% (1,000)
51.7% (777)
+4.1%
Power Play
56.6% (182)
60.0% (50)
-3.4%
Penalty Kill
51.2% (170)
43.9% (98)
+7.3%
On penalty kill, Pageau has a +7.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bonino shoots left. Pageau is 56.3% vs left-shot opponents (983).
Pageau shoots right. Bonino is 56.1% vs right-shot opponents (296).
Home / Away
Pageau
Bonino
Home
57.1% (674)
48.2% (461)
Away
53.5% (678)
54.5% (464)
By Period
Pageau
Bonino
P1
56.9%
54.1%
P2
54.5%
49.7%
P3
54.7%
50.7%
OT
52.9%
40.0%
Final 5 min
55.3%
50.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pageau
54.0%▼
57.5%
55.3%
Bonino
46.0%▼
47.5%
51.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 24, 2022 | 3 | 11:59 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| Feb 24, 2022 | 3 | 02:24 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Feb 24, 2022 | 3 | 02:11 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Feb 24, 2022 | 2 | 14:30 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| Feb 24, 2022 | 2 | 08:41 | Neutral | Nick Bonino |
| Feb 24, 2022 | 1 | 15:55 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Feb 24, 2022 | 1 | 13:27 | Neutral | Nick Bonino |
| Dec 2, 2021 | 2 | 12:05 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |