Jean-Gabriel Pageau vs Nick Bonino
2022-23 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jean-Gabriel Pageau holds a +9.0% FO% edge overall. Pageau wins 57.2% vs left-shot opponents — Bonino shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pageau 56.7% vs Bonino 48.5% (+9.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Pageau 68.6%
Defensive zone
Pageau 76.6%
Neutral zone
Pageau 75.9%
Result
Jean-Gabriel Pageau favored at 71.3%
71.3%
28.7%
Pageau
Bonino
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
1
(3 meetings)
2
1
Pageau
Bonino
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Pageau
2
0
Pageau
Bonino
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bonino
0
1
Pageau
Bonino
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pageau
Bonino
Edge
Even Strength
58.8% (889)
48.1% (324)
+10.7%
Power Play
58.2% (182)
57.9% (38)
+0.3%
Penalty Kill
48.6% (185)
44.3% (88)
+4.3%
On even strength, Pageau has a +10.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bonino shoots left. Pageau is 57.2% vs left-shot opponents (880).
Pageau shoots right. Bonino is 52.8% vs right-shot opponents (178).
Home / Away
Pageau
Bonino
Home
59.0% (595)
52.0% (244)
Away
55.7% (661)
43.7% (206)
By Period
Pageau
Bonino
P1
58.9%
48.0%
P2
57.9%
42.9%
P3
55.6%
53.9%
OT
44.4%
66.7%
Final 5 min
56.0%
52.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pageau
54.0%▼
57.5%
57.2%
Bonino
46.0%▼
47.5%
48.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2022 | 2 | 01:22 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Oct 18, 2022 | 1 | 07:46 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| Oct 18, 2022 | 1 | 04:19 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |