Jean-Gabriel Pageau vs Nick Bonino
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jean-Gabriel Pageau holds a +4.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Pageau on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 15 meetings). Pageau wins 55.6% vs left-shot opponents — Bonino shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pageau 54.8% vs Bonino 50.0% (+4.8%)
H2H factor
Pageau leads 22-16 in 38 meetings
Offensive zone
Pageau 79.1%
Defensive zone
Pageau 86.1%
Neutral zone
Pageau 85.6%
Result
Jean-Gabriel Pageau favored at 83.2%
83.2%
16.8%
Pageau
Bonino
Head-to-Head Record
22
-
16
(38 meetings)
22
16
Pageau
Bonino
Last 10: Pageau 5-5 Bonino
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Pageau
10
5
Pageau
Bonino
15 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bonino
6
8
Pageau
Bonino
14 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Pageau
6
3
Pageau
Bonino
9 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pageau
Bonino
Edge
Even Strength
55.7% (9,486)
50.6% (8,315)
+5.1%
Power Play
57.0% (1,002)
54.1% (972)
+2.9%
Penalty Kill
49.6% (2,069)
44.6% (1,693)
+5.0%
On even strength, Pageau has a +5.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bonino shoots left. Pageau is 55.6% vs left-shot opponents (8,837).
Pageau shoots right. Bonino is 51.4% vs right-shot opponents (4,070).
Home / Away
Pageau
Bonino
Home
56.3% (6,214)
51.2% (5,507)
Away
53.4% (6,343)
48.8% (5,480)
By Period
Pageau
Bonino
P1
54.6%
50.6%
P2
56.3%
48.5%
P3
53.5%
51.1%
OT
54.4%
45.7%
Final 5 min
53.9%
50.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pageau
54.0%▼
57.5%
54.8%
Bonino
46.0%▼
47.5%
50.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2022 | 2 | 01:22 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Oct 18, 2022 | 1 | 07:46 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| Oct 18, 2022 | 1 | 04:19 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Feb 24, 2022 | 3 | 11:59 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| Feb 24, 2022 | 3 | 02:24 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Feb 24, 2022 | 3 | 02:11 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Feb 24, 2022 | 2 | 14:30 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| Feb 24, 2022 | 2 | 08:41 | Neutral | Nick Bonino |
| Feb 24, 2022 | 1 | 15:55 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Feb 24, 2022 | 1 | 13:27 | Neutral | Nick Bonino |
| Dec 2, 2021 | 2 | 12:05 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Dec 19, 2019 | OT | 02:16 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Dec 19, 2019 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Dec 19, 2019 | 3 | 14:12 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| Dec 19, 2019 | 2 | 10:59 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Dec 19, 2019 | 2 | 01:51 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| Dec 19, 2019 | 2 | 00:08 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Dec 19, 2019 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Feb 19, 2018 | 3 | 13:04 | Offensive | Nick Bonino |
| Feb 19, 2018 | 3 | 00:33 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |