Jean-Gabriel Pageau vs Nicklas Backstrom
2020-21 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jean-Gabriel Pageau holds a +8.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Pageau on defensive-zone draws (90% H2H, 10 meetings). Pageau wins 59.5% vs left-shot opponents — Backstrom shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pageau 55.9% vs Backstrom 48.5% (+8.4%)
H2H factor
Pageau leads 14-7 in 21 meetings
Offensive zone
Pageau 70.8%
Defensive zone
Pageau 96.2%
Neutral zone
Pageau 86.3%
Result
Jean-Gabriel Pageau favored at 86.6%
86.6%
13.4%
Pageau
Backstrom
Head-to-Head Record
14
-
7
(21 meetings)
14
7
Pageau
Backstrom
Last 10: Pageau 7-3 Backstrom
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Backstrom
2
4
Pageau
Backstrom
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pageau
9
1
Pageau
Backstrom
10 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Pageau
3
2
Pageau
Backstrom
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pageau
Backstrom
Edge
Even Strength
58.3% (674)
48.7% (635)
+9.6%
Power Play
57.1% (77)
42.0% (50)
+15.1%
Penalty Kill
42.7% (82)
50.0% (46)
-7.3%
On power play, Pageau has a +15.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Backstrom shoots left. Pageau is 59.5% vs left-shot opponents (496).
Pageau shoots right. Backstrom is 45.2% vs right-shot opponents (354).
Home / Away
Pageau
Backstrom
Home
57.4% (439)
48.0% (348)
Away
55.8% (394)
48.6% (383)
By Period
Pageau
Backstrom
P1
54.0%
49.6%
P2
55.0%
48.2%
P3
60.8%
47.3%
OT
66.7%
37.5%
Final 5 min
56.0%
46.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pageau
54.0%▼
57.5%
56.7%
Backstrom
50.0%▲
48.5%
48.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 27, 2021 | 3 | 01:58 | Offensive | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Apr 27, 2021 | 1 | 01:29 | Neutral | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Apr 24, 2021 | 3 | 14:22 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Apr 24, 2021 | 2 | 06:22 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Apr 22, 2021 | 2 | 11:21 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Apr 22, 2021 | 2 | 06:55 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Apr 22, 2021 | 1 | 16:38 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Apr 6, 2021 | 3 | 19:55 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Apr 6, 2021 | 2 | 04:09 | Offensive | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Apr 6, 2021 | 1 | 13:31 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Apr 1, 2021 | 2 | 17:19 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Apr 1, 2021 | 2 | 04:09 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Apr 1, 2021 | 1 | 17:32 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Apr 1, 2021 | 1 | 07:25 | Neutral | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Mar 16, 2021 | 3 | 04:42 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Mar 16, 2021 | 2 | 11:43 | Offensive | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Jan 26, 2021 | 3 | 10:59 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Jan 26, 2021 | 2 | 13:20 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Jan 26, 2021 | 2 | 00:31 | Offensive | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Jan 26, 2021 | 1 | 18:55 | Defensive | Nicklas Backstrom |