Jean-Gabriel Pageau vs Nicklas Backstrom
2021-22 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jean-Gabriel Pageau holds a +8.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Pageau on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Pageau wins 56.3% vs left-shot opponents — Backstrom shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pageau 55.0% vs Backstrom 46.9% (+8.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Pageau 54.8%
Defensive zone
Pageau 84.2%
Neutral zone
Pageau 74.9%
Result
Jean-Gabriel Pageau favored at 71.3%
71.3%
28.7%
Pageau
Backstrom
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
4
(9 meetings)
5
4
Pageau
Backstrom
Last 9: Pageau 5-4 Backstrom
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Pageau
2
1
Pageau
Backstrom
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pageau
2
1
Pageau
Backstrom
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Backstrom
1
2
Pageau
Backstrom
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pageau
Backstrom
Edge
Even Strength
55.8% (1,000)
47.0% (541)
+8.8%
Power Play
56.6% (182)
47.4% (95)
+9.2%
Penalty Kill
51.2% (170)
15.4% (13)
+35.8%
On penalty kill, Pageau has a +35.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Backstrom shoots left. Pageau is 56.3% vs left-shot opponents (983).
Pageau shoots right. Backstrom is 41.0% vs right-shot opponents (244).
Home / Away
Pageau
Backstrom
Home
57.1% (674)
48.5% (328)
Away
53.5% (678)
44.2% (321)
By Period
Pageau
Backstrom
P1
56.9%
44.8%
P2
54.5%
42.9%
P3
54.7%
50.9%
OT
52.9%
57.1%
Final 5 min
55.3%
47.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pageau
54.0%▼
57.5%
55.3%
Backstrom
50.0%▲
48.5%
46.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 26, 2022 | 2 | 09:08 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Apr 26, 2022 | 1 | 19:54 | Offensive | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Apr 26, 2022 | 1 | 05:58 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Mar 15, 2022 | 3 | 12:36 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Mar 15, 2022 | 2 | 19:59 | Neutral | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Mar 15, 2022 | 2 | 19:42 | Neutral | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Mar 15, 2022 | 2 | 19:30 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Mar 15, 2022 | 1 | 08:23 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Mar 15, 2022 | 1 | 08:05 | Defensive | Nicklas Backstrom |