Jean-Gabriel Pageau vs Nicklas Backstrom
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jean-Gabriel Pageau holds a +4.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Pageau on defensive-zone draws (73% H2H, 37 meetings). Pageau wins 55.6% vs left-shot opponents — Backstrom shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pageau 54.8% vs Backstrom 50.5% (+4.3%)
H2H factor
Pageau leads 67-49 in 116 meetings
Offensive zone
Pageau 60.3%
Defensive zone
Pageau 91.5%
Neutral zone
Pageau 78.6%
Result
Jean-Gabriel Pageau favored at 75.6%
75.6%
24.4%
Pageau
Backstrom
Head-to-Head Record
67
-
49
(116 meetings)
67
49
Pageau
Backstrom
Last 10: Pageau 6-4 Backstrom
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Backstrom
21
24
Pageau
Backstrom
45 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pageau
27
10
Pageau
Backstrom
37 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Pageau
19
15
Pageau
Backstrom
34 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pageau
Backstrom
Edge
Even Strength
55.7% (9,486)
50.4% (11,581)
+5.3%
Power Play
57.0% (1,002)
52.3% (1,895)
+4.7%
Penalty Kill
49.6% (2,069)
47.0% (889)
+2.6%
On even strength, Pageau has a +5.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Backstrom shoots left. Pageau is 55.6% vs left-shot opponents (8,837).
Pageau shoots right. Backstrom is 48.3% vs right-shot opponents (5,430).
Home / Away
Pageau
Backstrom
Home
56.3% (6,214)
52.6% (7,223)
Away
53.4% (6,343)
48.4% (7,173)
By Period
Pageau
Backstrom
P1
54.6%
50.1%
P2
56.3%
49.7%
P3
53.5%
51.6%
OT
54.4%
52.9%
Final 5 min
53.9%
50.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pageau
54.0%▼
57.5%
54.8%
Backstrom
50.0%▲
48.5%
50.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 10, 2023 | 2 | 17:34 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Apr 10, 2023 | 2 | 14:37 | Neutral | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Apr 10, 2023 | 2 | 14:18 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Apr 10, 2023 | 1 | 02:54 | Offensive | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Mar 29, 2023 | 2 | 13:20 | Defensive | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Mar 29, 2023 | 2 | 03:52 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Mar 29, 2023 | 1 | 10:39 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Mar 29, 2023 | 1 | 07:07 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Jan 16, 2023 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Jan 16, 2023 | 1 | 03:32 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Jan 16, 2023 | 1 | 03:23 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Apr 26, 2022 | 2 | 09:08 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Apr 26, 2022 | 1 | 19:54 | Offensive | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Apr 26, 2022 | 1 | 05:58 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Mar 15, 2022 | 3 | 12:36 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Mar 15, 2022 | 2 | 19:59 | Neutral | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Mar 15, 2022 | 2 | 19:42 | Neutral | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Mar 15, 2022 | 2 | 19:30 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Mar 15, 2022 | 1 | 08:23 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Mar 15, 2022 | 1 | 08:05 | Defensive | Nicklas Backstrom |