Jean-Gabriel Pageau vs Nicklas Backstrom
2022-23 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jean-Gabriel Pageau holds a +6.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Pageau on offensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Pageau wins 57.2% vs left-shot opponents — Backstrom shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pageau 56.7% vs Backstrom 50.3% (+6.8%)
H2H factor
Pageau leads 7-4 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Pageau 64.1%
Defensive zone
Pageau 90.5%
Neutral zone
Pageau 75.6%
Result
Jean-Gabriel Pageau favored at 74.4%
74.4%
25.6%
Pageau
Backstrom
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
4
(11 meetings)
7
4
Pageau
Backstrom
Last 10: Pageau 6-4 Backstrom
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Pageau
4
1
Pageau
Backstrom
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pageau
2
1
Pageau
Backstrom
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Backstrom
1
2
Pageau
Backstrom
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pageau
Backstrom
Edge
Even Strength
58.8% (889)
51.4% (473)
+7.4%
Power Play
58.2% (182)
39.5% (38)
+18.7%
Penalty Kill
48.6% (185)
33.3% (3)
+15.3%
On power play, Pageau has a +18.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Backstrom shoots left. Pageau is 57.2% vs left-shot opponents (880).
Pageau shoots right. Backstrom is 44.8% vs right-shot opponents (172).
Home / Away
Pageau
Backstrom
Home
59.0% (595)
53.6% (278)
Away
55.7% (661)
46.6% (236)
By Period
Pageau
Backstrom
P1
58.9%
51.5%
P2
57.9%
56.0%
P3
55.6%
43.5%
OT
44.4%
50.0%
Final 5 min
56.0%
48.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pageau
54.0%▼
57.5%
57.2%
Backstrom
50.0%▲
48.5%
50.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 10, 2023 | 2 | 17:34 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Apr 10, 2023 | 2 | 14:37 | Neutral | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Apr 10, 2023 | 2 | 14:18 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Apr 10, 2023 | 1 | 02:54 | Offensive | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Mar 29, 2023 | 2 | 13:20 | Defensive | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Mar 29, 2023 | 2 | 03:52 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Mar 29, 2023 | 1 | 10:39 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Mar 29, 2023 | 1 | 07:07 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Jan 16, 2023 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Jan 16, 2023 | 1 | 03:32 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Jan 16, 2023 | 1 | 03:23 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |