Jean-Gabriel Pageau vs Noah Cates
2022-23 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jean-Gabriel Pageau holds a +17.7% FO% edge overall. Pageau wins 57.2% vs left-shot opponents — Cates shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pageau 56.7% vs Cates 40.4% (+17.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Pageau 92.2%
Defensive zone
Pageau 94.9%
Neutral zone
Pageau 93.5%
Result
Jean-Gabriel Pageau favored at 93.5%
93.5%
6.5%
Pageau
Cates
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
1
(6 meetings)
5
1
Pageau
Cates
Last 6: Pageau 5-1 Cates
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Pageau
2
0
Pageau
Cates
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pageau
2
0
Pageau
Cates
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Pageau
Cates
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pageau
Cates
Edge
Even Strength
58.8% (889)
40.4% (841)
+18.4%
Power Play
58.2% (182)
42.4% (66)
+15.8%
Penalty Kill
48.6% (185)
32.7% (147)
+15.9%
On even strength, Pageau has a +18.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Cates shoots left. Pageau is 57.2% vs left-shot opponents (880).
Pageau shoots right. Cates is 40.0% vs right-shot opponents (305).
Home / Away
Pageau
Cates
Home
59.0% (595)
38.2% (566)
Away
55.7% (661)
41.0% (488)
By Period
Pageau
Cates
P1
58.9%
40.5%
P2
57.9%
42.4%
P3
55.6%
35.3%
OT
44.4%
42.9%
Final 5 min
56.0%
36.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pageau
54.0%▼
57.5%
57.2%
Cates
46.0%▼
50.0%
39.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 6, 2023 | 3 | 06:15 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Feb 6, 2023 | 1 | 16:28 | Neutral | Noah Cates |
| Nov 29, 2022 | 3 | 14:13 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Nov 29, 2022 | 1 | 02:10 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Nov 26, 2022 | 2 | 09:38 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Nov 26, 2022 | 2 | 09:28 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |