Jean-Gabriel Pageau vs Ryan Donato
2024-25 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jean-Gabriel Pageau holds a +15.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Pageau on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Pageau wins 61.2% vs left-shot opponents — Donato shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pageau 58.7% vs Donato 45.4% (+15.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Pageau 75.4%
Defensive zone
Pageau 95.9%
Neutral zone
Pageau 92.9%
Result
Jean-Gabriel Pageau favored at 88.5%
88.5%
11.5%
Pageau
Donato
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
1
(6 meetings)
5
1
Pageau
Donato
Last 6: Pageau 5-1 Donato
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Pageau
Donato
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pageau
3
0
Pageau
Donato
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Pageau
1
0
Pageau
Donato
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pageau
Donato
Edge
Even Strength
59.6% (711)
43.5% (400)
+16.1%
Power Play
64.0% (114)
48.7% (119)
+15.3%
Penalty Kill
56.4% (163)
33.3% (6)
+23.1%
On penalty kill, Pageau has a +23.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Donato shoots left. Pageau is 61.2% vs left-shot opponents (763).
Pageau shoots right. Donato is 44.3% vs right-shot opponents (192).
Home / Away
Pageau
Donato
Home
59.3% (506)
50.2% (279)
Away
60.0% (482)
38.2% (246)
By Period
Pageau
Donato
P1
56.8%
44.6%
P2
64.4%
46.6%
P3
56.9%
42.0%
OT
75.0%
60.0%
Final 5 min
61.1%
49.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pageau
54.0%▼
57.5%
59.6%
Donato
46.0%▼
48.5%
44.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 15, 2024 | 2 | 15:07 | Offensive | Ryan Donato |
| Dec 15, 2024 | 2 | 00:20 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Dec 12, 2024 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Dec 12, 2024 | 2 | 18:58 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Dec 12, 2024 | 1 | 15:10 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Dec 12, 2024 | 1 | 01:27 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |