Jean-Gabriel Pageau vs Ryan Donato
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jean-Gabriel Pageau holds a +12.2% FO% edge overall. Pageau wins 60.5% vs left-shot opponents — Donato shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pageau 58.8% vs Donato 48.1% (+12.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Donato 83.1%
Defensive zone
Donato 56.5%
Neutral zone
Donato 70.9%
Result
Ryan Donato favored at 83.1%
16.9%
83.1%
Pageau
Donato
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
2
(2 meetings)
0
2
Pageau
Donato
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Donato
0
2
Pageau
Donato
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pageau
Donato
Edge
Even Strength
59.1% (687)
48.1% (258)
+11.0%
Power Play
69.4% (36)
43.2% (37)
+26.2%
On power play, Pageau has a +26.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Donato shoots left. Pageau is 60.5% vs left-shot opponents (691).
Pageau shoots right. Donato is 53.2% vs right-shot opponents (126).
Home / Away
Pageau
Donato
Home
57.8% (377)
45.8% (142)
Away
61.0% (559)
49.0% (153)
By Period
Pageau
Donato
P1
54.1%
48.1%
P2
62.1%
46.6%
P3
61.8%
46.8%
OT
75.0%
75.0%
Final 5 min
63.1%
56.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pageau
54.0%▼
57.5%
59.7%
Donato
46.0%▼
48.5%
47.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 30, 2025 | 2 | 18:14 | Offensive | Ryan Donato |
| Dec 30, 2025 | 2 | 16:49 | Offensive | Ryan Donato |