Jean-Gabriel Pageau vs Ryan Donato

All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report

Jean-Gabriel Pageau holds a +10.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Donato on offensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Pageau wins 55.6% vs left-shot opponents — Donato shoots left.

Prediction Breakdown
Model XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian) Pageau 54.8% vs Donato 44.9% (+10.3%)
H2H factor Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone Donato 55.6%
Defensive zone Pageau 90.1%
Neutral zone Pageau 76.8%
Result Jean-Gabriel Pageau favored at 63.2%
63.2%
36.8%
Pageau Donato
Head-to-Head Record
5 - 4 (9 meetings)
5
4
Pageau Donato
Last 9: Pageau 5-4 Donato

Zone Breakdown

Offensive Zone
Edge: Donato
1
4
Pageau Donato
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pageau
3
0
Pageau Donato
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Pageau
1
0
Pageau Donato
1 total

Situation Matchup

Situation
Pageau
Donato
Edge
Even Strength
55.7% (9,486)
44.2% (1,179)
+11.5%
Power Play
57.0% (1,002)
46.3% (246)
+10.7%
Penalty Kill
49.6% (2,069)
36.4% (11)
+13.2%
On penalty kill, Pageau has a +13.2% edge.

Handedness & Splits

Handedness
Donato shoots left. Pageau is 55.6% vs left-shot opponents (8,837).
Pageau shoots right. Donato is 44.2% vs right-shot opponents (547).
Home / Away
Pageau
Donato
Home
56.3% (6,214)
47.2% (743)
Away
53.4% (6,343)
41.6% (693)
By Period
Pageau
Donato
P1
54.6%
43.4%
P2
56.3%
45.1%
P3
53.5%
44.4%
OT
54.4%
70.0%
Final 5 min
53.9%
47.5%

Recent Form

Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pageau
54.0%
57.5%
54.8%
Donato
46.0%
48.5%
44.5%

Recent Faceoffs

Date Period Time Zone Winner
Dec 30, 2025 2 18:14 Offensive Ryan Donato
Dec 30, 2025 2 16:49 Offensive Ryan Donato
Dec 15, 2024 2 15:07 Offensive Ryan Donato
Dec 15, 2024 2 00:20 Defensive Jean-Gabriel Pageau
Dec 12, 2024 3 00:00 Neutral Jean-Gabriel Pageau
Dec 12, 2024 2 18:58 Defensive Jean-Gabriel Pageau
Dec 12, 2024 1 15:10 Defensive Jean-Gabriel Pageau
Dec 12, 2024 1 01:27 Offensive Jean-Gabriel Pageau
Nov 29, 2019 2 04:36 Offensive Ryan Donato