Jean-Gabriel Pageau vs Ryan Donato
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jean-Gabriel Pageau holds a +10.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Donato on offensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Pageau wins 55.6% vs left-shot opponents — Donato shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pageau 54.8% vs Donato 44.9% (+10.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Donato 55.6%
Defensive zone
Pageau 90.1%
Neutral zone
Pageau 76.8%
Result
Jean-Gabriel Pageau favored at 63.2%
63.2%
36.8%
Pageau
Donato
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
4
(9 meetings)
5
4
Pageau
Donato
Last 9: Pageau 5-4 Donato
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Donato
1
4
Pageau
Donato
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pageau
3
0
Pageau
Donato
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Pageau
1
0
Pageau
Donato
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pageau
Donato
Edge
Even Strength
55.7% (9,486)
44.2% (1,179)
+11.5%
Power Play
57.0% (1,002)
46.3% (246)
+10.7%
Penalty Kill
49.6% (2,069)
36.4% (11)
+13.2%
On penalty kill, Pageau has a +13.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Donato shoots left. Pageau is 55.6% vs left-shot opponents (8,837).
Pageau shoots right. Donato is 44.2% vs right-shot opponents (547).
Home / Away
Pageau
Donato
Home
56.3% (6,214)
47.2% (743)
Away
53.4% (6,343)
41.6% (693)
By Period
Pageau
Donato
P1
54.6%
43.4%
P2
56.3%
45.1%
P3
53.5%
44.4%
OT
54.4%
70.0%
Final 5 min
53.9%
47.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pageau
54.0%▼
57.5%
54.8%
Donato
46.0%▼
48.5%
44.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 30, 2025 | 2 | 18:14 | Offensive | Ryan Donato |
| Dec 30, 2025 | 2 | 16:49 | Offensive | Ryan Donato |
| Dec 15, 2024 | 2 | 15:07 | Offensive | Ryan Donato |
| Dec 15, 2024 | 2 | 00:20 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Dec 12, 2024 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Dec 12, 2024 | 2 | 18:58 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Dec 12, 2024 | 1 | 15:10 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Dec 12, 2024 | 1 | 01:27 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Nov 29, 2019 | 2 | 04:36 | Offensive | Ryan Donato |