Jean-Gabriel Pageau vs Ryan McLeod
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jean-Gabriel Pageau holds a +12.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Pageau on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Pageau wins 60.5% vs left-shot opponents — McLeod shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pageau 58.8% vs McLeod 47.8% (+12.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Pageau 83.2%
Defensive zone
Pageau 90.6%
Neutral zone
Pageau 90.6%
Result
Jean-Gabriel Pageau favored at 88.1%
88.1%
11.9%
Pageau
McLeod
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
0
(6 meetings)
6
0
Pageau
McLeod
Last 6: Pageau 6-0 McLeod
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Pageau
2
0
Pageau
McLeod
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pageau
3
0
Pageau
McLeod
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Pageau
1
0
Pageau
McLeod
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pageau
McLeod
Edge
Even Strength
59.1% (687)
49.2% (796)
+9.9%
Power Play
69.4% (36)
44.8% (87)
+24.6%
Penalty Kill
60.1% (213)
43.3% (263)
+16.8%
On power play, Pageau has a +24.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McLeod shoots left. Pageau is 60.5% vs left-shot opponents (691).
Pageau shoots right. McLeod is 45.5% vs right-shot opponents (398).
Home / Away
Pageau
McLeod
Home
57.8% (377)
49.2% (575)
Away
61.0% (559)
45.9% (571)
By Period
Pageau
McLeod
P1
54.1%
52.8%
P2
62.1%
45.1%
P3
61.8%
45.6%
OT
75.0%
35.7%
Final 5 min
63.1%
44.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pageau
54.0%▼
57.5%
59.7%
McLeod
52.0%▬
51.5%
47.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 24, 2026 | 3 | 09:17 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Jan 24, 2026 | 3 | 06:14 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Jan 24, 2026 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Jan 24, 2026 | 2 | 17:38 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Dec 20, 2025 | 3 | 06:26 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Dec 20, 2025 | 2 | 05:18 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |