Jean-Gabriel Pageau vs Ryan McLeod
2024-25 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jean-Gabriel Pageau holds a +7.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Pageau on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Pageau wins 61.2% vs left-shot opponents — McLeod shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pageau 58.7% vs McLeod 52.1% (+7.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Pageau 89.4%
Defensive zone
Pageau 65.4%
Neutral zone
Pageau 80.2%
Result
Jean-Gabriel Pageau favored at 89.4%
89.4%
10.6%
Pageau
McLeod
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
0
(3 meetings)
3
0
Pageau
McLeod
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Pageau
3
0
Pageau
McLeod
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pageau
McLeod
Edge
Even Strength
59.6% (711)
52.9% (904)
+6.7%
Power Play
64.0% (114)
57.6% (59)
+6.4%
Penalty Kill
56.4% (163)
49.0% (241)
+7.4%
On penalty kill, Pageau has a +7.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McLeod shoots left. Pageau is 61.2% vs left-shot opponents (763).
Pageau shoots right. McLeod is 51.7% vs right-shot opponents (420).
Home / Away
Pageau
McLeod
Home
59.3% (506)
51.8% (612)
Away
60.0% (482)
52.9% (592)
By Period
Pageau
McLeod
P1
56.8%
55.4%
P2
64.4%
50.8%
P3
56.9%
51.6%
OT
75.0%
40.0%
Final 5 min
61.1%
51.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pageau
54.0%▼
57.5%
59.6%
McLeod
52.0%▬
51.5%
52.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 23, 2024 | 3 | 08:07 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Dec 23, 2024 | 3 | 08:02 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Nov 1, 2024 | 2 | 10:50 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |