Jean-Gabriel Pageau vs Ryan McLeod
2023-24 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jean-Gabriel Pageau holds a +4.6% FO% edge overall. Look for McLeod on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Pageau wins 55.6% vs left-shot opponents — McLeod shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pageau 55.0% vs McLeod 50.7% (+4.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McLeod 52.6%
Defensive zone
Pageau 83.8%
Neutral zone
Pageau 68.5%
Result
Jean-Gabriel Pageau favored at 55.8%
55.8%
44.2%
Pageau
McLeod
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Pageau
McLeod
Last 5: Pageau 3-2 McLeod
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McLeod
1
2
Pageau
McLeod
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Pageau
2
0
Pageau
McLeod
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pageau
McLeod
Edge
Even Strength
57.1% (905)
51.3% (628)
+5.8%
Power Play
55.2% (116)
68.3% (41)
-13.1%
Penalty Kill
48.0% (204)
30.6% (49)
+17.4%
On penalty kill, Pageau has a +17.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McLeod shoots left. Pageau is 55.6% vs left-shot opponents (880).
Pageau shoots right. McLeod is 58.8% vs right-shot opponents (211).
Home / Away
Pageau
McLeod
Home
57.0% (618)
51.5% (394)
Away
53.9% (607)
50.0% (324)
By Period
Pageau
McLeod
P1
54.4%
51.5%
P2
61.0%
47.0%
P3
51.0%
54.3%
OT
50.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
53.8%
50.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pageau
54.0%▼
57.5%
55.4%
McLeod
52.0%▬
51.5%
50.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 19, 2023 | 3 | 16:08 | Offensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Dec 19, 2023 | 3 | 00:58 | Offensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Nov 13, 2023 | 3 | 19:35 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Nov 13, 2023 | 3 | 17:33 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Nov 13, 2023 | 3 | 01:17 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |