Jean-Gabriel Pageau vs Ryan McLeod
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jean-Gabriel Pageau holds a +5.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Pageau on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 8 meetings). Pageau wins 55.6% vs left-shot opponents — McLeod shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pageau 54.8% vs McLeod 49.6% (+5.2%)
H2H factor
Pageau leads 24-6 in 30 meetings
Offensive zone
Pageau 81.2%
Defensive zone
Pageau 95.7%
Neutral zone
Pageau 94.8%
Result
Jean-Gabriel Pageau favored at 90.2%
90.2%
9.8%
Pageau
McLeod
Head-to-Head Record
24
-
6
(30 meetings)
24
6
Pageau
McLeod
Last 10: Pageau 9-1 McLeod
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Pageau
8
3
Pageau
McLeod
11 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pageau
8
3
Pageau
McLeod
11 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Pageau
8
0
Pageau
McLeod
8 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pageau
McLeod
Edge
Even Strength
55.7% (9,486)
50.4% (3,345)
+5.3%
Power Play
57.0% (1,002)
51.0% (292)
+6.0%
Penalty Kill
49.6% (2,069)
44.3% (635)
+5.3%
On power play, Pageau has a +6.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McLeod shoots left. Pageau is 55.6% vs left-shot opponents (8,837).
Pageau shoots right. McLeod is 49.3% vs right-shot opponents (1,490).
Home / Away
Pageau
McLeod
Home
56.3% (6,214)
50.2% (2,158)
Away
53.4% (6,343)
48.9% (2,114)
By Period
Pageau
McLeod
P1
54.6%
50.8%
P2
56.3%
48.4%
P3
53.5%
50.0%
OT
54.4%
37.1%
Final 5 min
53.9%
48.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pageau
54.0%▼
57.5%
54.8%
McLeod
52.0%▬
51.5%
49.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 24, 2026 | 3 | 09:17 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Jan 24, 2026 | 3 | 06:14 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Jan 24, 2026 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Jan 24, 2026 | 2 | 17:38 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Dec 20, 2025 | 3 | 06:26 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Dec 20, 2025 | 2 | 05:18 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Dec 23, 2024 | 3 | 08:07 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Dec 23, 2024 | 3 | 08:02 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Nov 1, 2024 | 2 | 10:50 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Dec 19, 2023 | 3 | 16:08 | Offensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Dec 19, 2023 | 3 | 00:58 | Offensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Nov 13, 2023 | 3 | 19:35 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Nov 13, 2023 | 3 | 17:33 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Nov 13, 2023 | 3 | 01:17 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Jan 5, 2023 | 3 | 01:37 | Defensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Jan 5, 2023 | 3 | 00:17 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Jan 5, 2023 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Jan 5, 2023 | 2 | 19:07 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Jan 5, 2023 | 2 | 16:15 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Jan 5, 2023 | 2 | 10:51 | Defensive | Ryan McLeod |