Jean-Gabriel Pageau vs Ryan Poehling
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jean-Gabriel Pageau holds a +12.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Pageau on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Pageau wins 60.5% vs left-shot opponents — Poehling shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pageau 58.8% vs Poehling 47.4% (+12.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Pageau 78.2%
Defensive zone
Pageau 60.4%
Neutral zone
Pageau 68.0%
Result
Jean-Gabriel Pageau favored at 78.2%
78.2%
21.8%
Pageau
Poehling
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
1
(3 meetings)
2
1
Pageau
Poehling
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Pageau
2
1
Pageau
Poehling
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pageau
Poehling
Edge
Even Strength
59.1% (687)
49.8% (626)
+9.3%
Power Play
69.4% (36)
58.3% (12)
+11.1%
Penalty Kill
60.1% (213)
38.2% (207)
+21.9%
On penalty kill, Pageau has a +21.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Poehling shoots left. Pageau is 60.5% vs left-shot opponents (691).
Pageau shoots right. Poehling is 50.7% vs right-shot opponents (286).
Home / Away
Pageau
Poehling
Home
57.8% (377)
47.3% (404)
Away
61.0% (559)
46.9% (441)
By Period
Pageau
Poehling
P1
54.1%
53.5%
P2
62.1%
39.4%
P3
61.8%
49.1%
OT
75.0%
35.7%
Final 5 min
63.1%
51.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pageau
54.0%▼
57.5%
59.7%
Poehling
58.0%▲
48.5%
47.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 4, 2026 | 3 | 14:46 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Mar 4, 2026 | 3 | 04:39 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Mar 4, 2026 | 2 | 05:39 | Offensive | Ryan Poehling |