Jean-Gabriel Pageau vs Ryan Poehling
2023-24 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jean-Gabriel Pageau holds a +6.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Pageau on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 7 meetings). Pageau wins 55.6% vs left-shot opponents — Poehling shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pageau 55.0% vs Poehling 49.2% (+6.3%)
H2H factor
Pageau leads 8-3 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Pageau 70.9%
Defensive zone
Pageau 87.3%
Neutral zone
Pageau 80.2%
Result
Jean-Gabriel Pageau favored at 83.8%
83.8%
16.2%
Pageau
Poehling
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
3
(11 meetings)
8
3
Pageau
Poehling
Last 10: Pageau 8-2 Poehling
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Poehling
0
1
Pageau
Poehling
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pageau
7
0
Pageau
Poehling
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Poehling
1
2
Pageau
Poehling
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pageau
Poehling
Edge
Even Strength
57.1% (905)
50.4% (752)
+6.7%
Power Play
55.2% (116)
37.0% (27)
+18.2%
Penalty Kill
48.0% (204)
45.3% (159)
+2.7%
On power play, Pageau has a +18.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Poehling shoots left. Pageau is 55.6% vs left-shot opponents (880).
Pageau shoots right. Poehling is 50.9% vs right-shot opponents (283).
Home / Away
Pageau
Poehling
Home
57.0% (618)
51.2% (467)
Away
53.9% (607)
47.1% (471)
By Period
Pageau
Poehling
P1
54.4%
54.6%
P2
61.0%
46.7%
P3
51.0%
46.7%
OT
50.0%
42.9%
Final 5 min
53.8%
47.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pageau
54.0%▼
57.5%
55.4%
Poehling
58.0%▲
48.5%
49.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 1, 2024 | 3 | 16:19 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Apr 1, 2024 | 2 | 15:19 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Apr 1, 2024 | 1 | 18:10 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Nov 25, 2023 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan Poehling |
| Nov 25, 2023 | 1 | 13:25 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Nov 25, 2023 | 1 | 13:18 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Nov 22, 2023 | 3 | 16:51 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Nov 22, 2023 | 3 | 13:39 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Nov 22, 2023 | 2 | 19:51 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Nov 22, 2023 | 2 | 11:06 | Neutral | Ryan Poehling |
| Nov 22, 2023 | 1 | 03:50 | Offensive | Ryan Poehling |