Jean-Gabriel Pageau vs Ryan Poehling
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jean-Gabriel Pageau holds a +6.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Pageau on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 8 meetings). Pageau wins 55.6% vs left-shot opponents — Poehling shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pageau 54.7% vs Poehling 48.1% (+6.7%)
H2H factor
Pageau leads 10-6 in 16 meetings
Offensive zone
Pageau 87.6%
Defensive zone
Pageau 85.3%
Neutral zone
Pageau 85.3%
Result
Jean-Gabriel Pageau favored at 85.8%
85.8%
14.2%
Pageau
Poehling
Head-to-Head Record
10
-
6
(16 meetings)
10
6
Pageau
Poehling
Last 10: Pageau 8-2 Poehling
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Poehling
1
2
Pageau
Poehling
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pageau
8
0
Pageau
Poehling
8 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Poehling
1
4
Pageau
Poehling
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pageau
Poehling
Edge
Even Strength
55.7% (9,301)
49.1% (2,540)
+6.6%
Power Play
56.8% (989)
50.6% (87)
+6.2%
Penalty Kill
49.5% (2,019)
42.3% (548)
+7.2%
On penalty kill, Pageau has a +7.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Poehling shoots left. Pageau is 55.6% vs left-shot opponents (8,648).
Pageau shoots right. Poehling is 49.5% vs right-shot opponents (1,040).
Home / Away
Pageau
Poehling
Home
56.3% (6,136)
49.7% (1,506)
Away
53.2% (6,173)
46.5% (1,669)
By Period
Pageau
Poehling
P1
54.7%
50.7%
P2
56.2%
47.8%
P3
53.3%
46.0%
OT
54.5%
40.9%
Final 5 min
53.6%
47.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pageau
72.0%▲
62.5%
54.7%
Poehling
58.0%▲
46.5%
48.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 1, 2024 | 3 | 16:19 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Apr 1, 2024 | 2 | 15:19 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Apr 1, 2024 | 1 | 18:10 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Nov 25, 2023 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan Poehling |
| Nov 25, 2023 | 1 | 13:25 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Nov 25, 2023 | 1 | 13:18 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Nov 22, 2023 | 3 | 16:51 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Nov 22, 2023 | 3 | 13:39 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Nov 22, 2023 | 2 | 19:51 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Nov 22, 2023 | 2 | 11:06 | Neutral | Ryan Poehling |
| Nov 22, 2023 | 1 | 03:50 | Offensive | Ryan Poehling |
| Apr 15, 2022 | 3 | 18:21 | Neutral | Ryan Poehling |
| Apr 15, 2022 | 1 | 09:05 | Offensive | Ryan Poehling |