Jean-Gabriel Pageau vs Ryan Poehling
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jean-Gabriel Pageau holds a +6.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Pageau on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 8 meetings). Pageau wins 55.6% vs left-shot opponents — Poehling shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pageau 54.8% vs Poehling 48.1% (+6.7%)
H2H factor
Pageau leads 12-7 in 19 meetings
Offensive zone
Pageau 89.4%
Defensive zone
Pageau 84.2%
Neutral zone
Pageau 84.8%
Result
Jean-Gabriel Pageau favored at 86.0%
86.0%
14.0%
Pageau
Poehling
Head-to-Head Record
12
-
7
(19 meetings)
12
7
Pageau
Poehling
Last 10: Pageau 8-2 Poehling
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
3
3
Pageau
Poehling
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pageau
8
0
Pageau
Poehling
8 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Poehling
1
4
Pageau
Poehling
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pageau
Poehling
Edge
Even Strength
55.7% (9,486)
49.4% (2,726)
+6.3%
Power Play
57.0% (1,002)
51.6% (93)
+5.4%
Penalty Kill
49.6% (2,069)
41.6% (623)
+8.0%
On penalty kill, Pageau has a +8.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Poehling shoots left. Pageau is 55.6% vs left-shot opponents (8,837).
Pageau shoots right. Poehling is 49.8% vs right-shot opponents (1,141).
Home / Away
Pageau
Poehling
Home
56.3% (6,214)
49.3% (1,688)
Away
53.4% (6,343)
46.9% (1,754)
By Period
Pageau
Poehling
P1
54.6%
50.9%
P2
56.3%
47.0%
P3
53.5%
46.9%
OT
54.4%
37.9%
Final 5 min
53.9%
47.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pageau
54.0%▼
57.5%
54.8%
Poehling
58.0%▲
48.5%
48.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 4, 2026 | 3 | 14:46 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Mar 4, 2026 | 3 | 04:39 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Mar 4, 2026 | 2 | 05:39 | Offensive | Ryan Poehling |
| Apr 1, 2024 | 3 | 16:19 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Apr 1, 2024 | 2 | 15:19 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Apr 1, 2024 | 1 | 18:10 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Nov 25, 2023 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan Poehling |
| Nov 25, 2023 | 1 | 13:25 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Nov 25, 2023 | 1 | 13:18 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Nov 22, 2023 | 3 | 16:51 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Nov 22, 2023 | 3 | 13:39 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Nov 22, 2023 | 2 | 19:51 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Nov 22, 2023 | 2 | 11:06 | Neutral | Ryan Poehling |
| Nov 22, 2023 | 1 | 03:50 | Offensive | Ryan Poehling |
| Apr 15, 2022 | 3 | 18:21 | Neutral | Ryan Poehling |
| Apr 15, 2022 | 1 | 09:05 | Offensive | Ryan Poehling |