Jean-Gabriel Pageau vs Ryan Poehling
2024-25 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jean-Gabriel Pageau holds a +8.7% FO% edge overall. Pageau wins 61.2% vs left-shot opponents — Poehling shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pageau 58.7% vs Poehling 50.8% (+8.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Pageau 82.1%
Defensive zone
Pageau 53.4%
Neutral zone
Pageau 70.4%
Result
Jean-Gabriel Pageau favored at 68.6%
68.6%
31.4%
Pageau
Poehling
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
1
(3 meetings)
2
1
Pageau
Poehling
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Pageau
1
0
Pageau
Poehling
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pageau
1
0
Pageau
Poehling
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Poehling
0
1
Pageau
Poehling
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pageau
Poehling
Edge
Even Strength
59.6% (711)
52.6% (622)
+7.0%
Power Play
64.0% (114)
58.3% (12)
+5.7%
Penalty Kill
56.4% (163)
39.8% (103)
+16.6%
On penalty kill, Pageau has a +16.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Poehling shoots left. Pageau is 61.2% vs left-shot opponents (763).
Pageau shoots right. Poehling is 53.0% vs right-shot opponents (232).
Home / Away
Pageau
Poehling
Home
59.3% (506)
53.2% (393)
Away
60.0% (482)
48.3% (344)
By Period
Pageau
Poehling
P1
56.8%
50.9%
P2
64.4%
56.2%
P3
56.9%
46.1%
OT
75.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
61.1%
51.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pageau
54.0%▼
57.5%
59.6%
Poehling
58.0%▲
48.5%
50.9%