Jean-Gabriel Pageau vs Sam Lafferty
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jean-Gabriel Pageau holds a +10.0% FO% edge overall. Pageau wins 55.4% vs right-shot opponents — Lafferty shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pageau 58.8% vs Lafferty 50.0% (+10.0%)
Offensive zone
Lafferty 66.5%
Defensive zone
Pageau 73.0%
Neutral zone
Pageau 58.1%
Result
Jean-Gabriel Pageau favored at 54.9%
54.9%
45.1%
Pageau
Lafferty
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pageau
Lafferty
Edge
Even Strength
59.2% (502)
50.0% (22)
+9.2%
On even strength, Pageau has a +9.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lafferty shoots right. Pageau is 55.4% vs right-shot opponents (186).
Pageau shoots right. Lafferty is 33.3% vs right-shot opponents (3).
Home / Away
Pageau
Lafferty
Home
59.5% (299)
33.3% (15)
Away
60.4% (389)
85.7% (7)
By Period
Pageau
Lafferty
P1
55.3%
50.0%
P2
62.2%
66.7%
P3
61.1%
33.3%
OT
80.0%
100.0%
Final 5 min
62.4%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pageau
72.0%▲
62.5%
60.0%
Lafferty
48.0%▼
50.0%
50.0%