Jean-Gabriel Pageau vs Sam Lafferty
2023-24 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jean-Gabriel Pageau holds a +13.3% FO% edge overall. Pageau wins 55.1% vs right-shot opponents — Lafferty shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pageau 55.0% vs Lafferty 43.9% (+13.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Pageau 55.9%
Defensive zone
Pageau 82.7%
Neutral zone
Pageau 76.1%
Result
Jean-Gabriel Pageau favored at 82.7%
82.7%
17.3%
Pageau
Lafferty
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Pageau
Lafferty
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pageau
1
0
Pageau
Lafferty
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pageau
Lafferty
Edge
Even Strength
57.1% (905)
42.6% (324)
+14.5%
Power Play
55.2% (116)
31.3% (16)
+23.9%
Penalty Kill
48.0% (204)
43.8% (16)
+4.2%
On power play, Pageau has a +23.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lafferty shoots right. Pageau is 55.1% vs right-shot opponents (345).
Pageau shoots right. Lafferty is 37.5% vs right-shot opponents (88).
Home / Away
Pageau
Lafferty
Home
57.0% (618)
40.9% (181)
Away
53.9% (607)
43.4% (175)
By Period
Pageau
Lafferty
P1
54.4%
42.2%
P2
61.0%
36.4%
P3
51.0%
48.6%
Final 5 min
53.8%
37.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pageau
54.0%▼
57.5%
55.4%
Lafferty
56.0%▲
51.0%
42.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 9, 2024 | 1 | 02:04 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |