Jean-Gabriel Pageau vs Sam Lafferty
2022-23 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jean-Gabriel Pageau holds a +6.1% FO% edge overall. Pageau wins 57.4% vs right-shot opponents — Lafferty shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pageau 56.7% vs Lafferty 50.9% (+6.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Pageau 53.5%
Defensive zone
Lafferty 51.0%
Neutral zone
Pageau 54.0%
Result
Jean-Gabriel Pageau favored at 51.3%
51.3%
48.7%
Pageau
Lafferty
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Pageau
Lafferty
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Pageau
1
0
Pageau
Lafferty
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lafferty
0
1
Pageau
Lafferty
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pageau
Lafferty
Edge
Even Strength
58.8% (889)
52.2% (366)
+6.6%
Power Play
58.2% (182)
60.0% (15)
-1.8%
Penalty Kill
48.6% (185)
46.2% (104)
+2.4%
On even strength, Pageau has a +6.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lafferty shoots right. Pageau is 57.4% vs right-shot opponents (376).
Pageau shoots right. Lafferty is 53.3% vs right-shot opponents (122).
Home / Away
Pageau
Lafferty
Home
59.0% (595)
53.1% (258)
Away
55.7% (661)
48.9% (227)
By Period
Pageau
Lafferty
P1
58.9%
52.5%
P2
57.9%
49.7%
P3
55.6%
51.3%
OT
44.4%
33.3%
Final 5 min
56.0%
49.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pageau
54.0%▼
57.5%
57.2%
Lafferty
56.0%▲
51.0%
51.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2022 | 2 | 19:24 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Nov 1, 2022 | 2 | 05:32 | Defensive | Sam Lafferty |