Jean-Gabriel Pageau vs Sam Lafferty
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jean-Gabriel Pageau holds a +7.3% FO% edge overall. Pageau wins 57.6% vs right-shot opponents — Lafferty shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pageau 58.8% vs Lafferty 50.7% (+7.3%)
Offensive zone
Lafferty 57.6%
Defensive zone
Pageau 73.1%
Neutral zone
Pageau 54.0%
Result
Jean-Gabriel Pageau favored at 56.5%
56.5%
43.5%
Pageau
Lafferty
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pageau
Lafferty
Edge
Even Strength
59.1% (687)
52.4% (42)
+6.7%
On even strength, Pageau has a +6.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lafferty shoots right. Pageau is 57.6% vs right-shot opponents (243).
Pageau shoots right. Lafferty is 44.4% vs right-shot opponents (9).
Home / Away
Pageau
Lafferty
Home
57.8% (377)
47.8% (23)
Away
61.0% (559)
57.9% (19)
By Period
Pageau
Lafferty
P1
54.1%
53.3%
P2
62.1%
55.6%
P3
61.8%
47.1%
OT
75.0%
100.0%
Final 5 min
63.1%
33.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pageau
54.0%▼
57.5%
59.7%
Lafferty
56.0%▲
51.0%
52.4%