Jean-Gabriel Pageau vs Sam Lafferty
2020-21 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jean-Gabriel Pageau holds a +4.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Lafferty on defensive-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pageau 55.9% vs Lafferty 51.2% (+4.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Pageau 54.4%
Defensive zone
Pageau 51.5%
Neutral zone
Pageau 51.1%
Result
Jean-Gabriel Pageau favored at 52.0%
52.0%
48.0%
Pageau
Lafferty
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Pageau
Lafferty
Last 6: Pageau 3-3 Lafferty
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Pageau
1
0
Pageau
Lafferty
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lafferty
2
3
Pageau
Lafferty
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pageau
Lafferty
Edge
Even Strength
58.3% (674)
53.5% (101)
+4.8%
Penalty Kill
42.7% (82)
25.0% (4)
+17.7%
On penalty kill, Pageau has a +17.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lafferty shoots right. Pageau is 52.5% vs right-shot opponents (337).
Pageau shoots right. Lafferty is 56.7% vs right-shot opponents (30).
Home / Away
Pageau
Lafferty
Home
57.4% (439)
50.0% (62)
Away
55.8% (394)
55.8% (43)
By Period
Pageau
Lafferty
P1
54.0%
70.0%
P2
55.0%
37.8%
P3
60.8%
52.6%
Final 5 min
56.0%
52.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pageau
54.0%▼
57.5%
56.7%
Lafferty
56.0%▲
51.0%
52.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 28, 2021 | 2 | 15:28 | Defensive | Sam Lafferty |
| Feb 28, 2021 | 2 | 05:30 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Feb 27, 2021 | 2 | 19:15 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Feb 27, 2021 | 2 | 13:04 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Feb 20, 2021 | 3 | 17:17 | Defensive | Sam Lafferty |
| Feb 18, 2021 | 1 | 17:45 | Defensive | Sam Lafferty |